FlyTheNest

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Government defeated as predicted.

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William Haque getting pulled apart by both sides of the House over the grubby last minute tabling of the the voting procedures for Speaker. I think this proposal may be in trouble.

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Good Morning A new, very large sample, yougov poll just out for the Times. Sample size 8271 with very little weighting CON 34% LAB 33% LD 8% UKIP 14% GREEN 5% SNP/PC 5% Unweighted just about even CON & LAB slight (CON lead less than 1/2%) However in the age groups LAB lead convincingly in all b...

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Good Morning A new, very large sample, yougov poll just out for the Times. Sample size 8271 with very little weighting CON 34% LAB 33% LD 8% UKIP 14% GREEN 5% SNP/PC 5% Unweighted just about even CON & LAB slight (CON lead less than 1/2%) However in the age groups LAB lead convincingly in all bu...

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One of the reasons I moved us to France in 2009 was because it was clear that Cameron would be pm and I couldn't bear the thought.was very sad that Rosie missed england so much we had to come back. If there's another Tory led govt,well,at least I own my house,car,no debts at all.Will just stop read...

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I have a question for our IT specialists: Why is it that sometimes I can click on a link in a post & it opens in a new tab & at other times, I'm directed there from this tab ? Today, I have clicked on yahyah's post to Wales Online & it opened a new tab but all of Lonewolfies links open ...

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Surely this must already be the red hot favourite for several FTN awards for 2015. George Osborne has been a success. But he might still lose Matthew d'Ancona http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/mar/15/george-osborne-success-serves-rich-deadly-budget#comments" onclick="window.ope...

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Who in the world on the Guardian could have produced such a lazy, irrelevant story. Kitchen sink drama for Miliband as homely photo backfires http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/mar/12/kitchen-miliband-photo-backfires-bbc-labour" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false; Why I mus...

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Here comes Gilligan! http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/uknews/11457702/Coming-down-the-tracks-chaos-for-railway-passengers.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false; The truth, however, is that London Bridge is only the beginning, and some of the miseries suffered by its users will...

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I see the Indie is reporting Cameron is going to be saved the humiliation of being emptied chaired by being given his 'own BBC show' Mike Smithson ‏@MSmithsonPB 8m8 minutes ago Fascinating debates development on front page of the Indy on Sunday So now why would he ever want to take part in a televis...

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So this is Cameron's Final Offer re debates. Cameron 'agrees to just one debate' Breaking news Continue reading the main story Related Stories Miliband will debate 'any time' No. 10 says its "final offer" is for David Cameron to take part in one TV election debate between 7 party leaders h...

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So Labour actually ahead before Ashcroft adjustments in many seats!

Mike Smithson ‏@MSmithsonPB 29s29 seconds ago

In quite a few Ashcroft LAB - CON marginals LAB in front with all giving voting intention. CON holding on greater certainty to vote
0 replies 0 retweets 0 favorites

Snap RR2

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I live in High Peak Constituency which has been polled in Ashcroft's Marginal Poll. Mike Smithson ‏@MSmithsonPB 1m1 minute ago Colne Valley—1% TORY lead High Peak—1% LAB Norwich N—1% LAB Vale of Glamorgan—6% TORY Given the make up of the High Peak Council which is Labour controlled and is almost ide...

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Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB · 32m 32 minutes ago @stuartdunlop93 The age distribution of votes in latest YouGov is totally abnormal. 60+ level pegging, 18-24 CON 8% lead Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB · 1h 1 hour ago @travancoretea 2% CON lead unlikely to give party most seats even with LAB's Scottish t...

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Another see-saw poll in tomorrow's Observer. Mike Smithson ‏@MSmithsonPB 4m4 minutes ago Opinium poll for Observer LAB 35 CON 34 LD 6 UKIP 14 GRN 6 0 replies 0 retweets 0 favorites Mike Smithson ‏@MSmithsonPB 5m5 minutes ago LAB back in the lead with Opinium for the Observer 0 replies 0 retweets 0 f...

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Just finished catching up, having finally read all of the FTN links for the last few days. :) Here's a link to RichardBlogger's take on the Manchester thing where, as usual, he has forensically researched what information is available and drawn some conclusions. http://nhsvault.blogspot.co.uk/2015/...

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rebeccariots2 wrote:
Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB · 5m 5 minutes ago
Now LAB go into lead for 1st time this year in this week's @LordAshcroft national phone poll

Interesting to note (to me at least)
Labour lead 4% on 'weighted base' before 'Don't Knows/Won't says' are reallocated.

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Outlier. Polls don't move that much in one go however much the media might want them to. On a more general note, when was the last time the Tories polled as high as their 2010 GE vote share? Because regardless of what Labour does, the Tories are going to have to score around 36% just to hold onto t...

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Ed should really go hard on the tax haven stuff. People aren't impressed by billionaire tax dodgers who don't even live here telling us how to vote. I sometimes don't understand the left; whereas the right finds a populist issue like immigration and exploits it to the full, where Labour's views coi...

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The reason Britain carries less freight by rail is because of competitively short distances for trunk haul. Many European railways also have a wagon load service which is not profitable and when reintroduced by the privateers (the American owners of the privatised Railfreight companies) in 1998 was...

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Ed should really go hard on the tax haven stuff. People aren't impressed by billionaire tax dodgers who don't even live here telling us how to vote. I sometimes don't understand the left; whereas the right finds a populist issue like immigration and exploits it to the full, where Labour's views coi...

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Ed should really go hard on the tax haven stuff. People aren't impressed by billionaire tax dodgers who don't even live here telling us how to vote. I sometimes don't understand the left; whereas the right finds a populist issue like immigration and exploits it to the full, where Labour's views coi...

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For those who understand these polling things far better than I - comment from UK Polling Report: HAL I suspect Ashcroft has c***ed up: table 2 (all respondents) has Con 22% Lab 20%, with “definitely vote that way” sub-sample Con 33% Lab 35% (i.e., a likelihood-to-vote filter would favour Lab). So ...

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Keep it coming, don't be afraid. The problem with quoting late era BR is that, like everything in the Major era, it wasn't given very much to invest. It got very good at running what it had and sweating assets, but you can't compared subsidies across eras with different levels of investment. I don'...

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My train service to London is bloody wonderful, as good as anything in the world. Shame it costs more than the planet. If you want abysmal first world, try the USA some time. Mate on facebook pays £4500 for London -> Brighton. Can't say he's impressed. His posts to and from work are hilarious....at...

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Just came across http://www.monbiot.com/2014/12/08/there-is-an-alternative/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false; Some decent ideas, however I'm slightly concerned by the 'If it's not changed perfectly then it's bad as not changing it at all' approach to party funding. Am I touch...

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Tell us more, RearOTS. One thing that looks odd about the current system is the role of DfT. Train procurement has been nationalized, but why are the DfT doing it, and not Network Rail? The National Audit office said they ought to work more closely with Network Rail. Why not go further? Hi Tubby I ...

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Tell us more, RearOTS. One thing that looks odd about the current system is the role of DfT. Train procurement has been nationalized, but why are the DfT doing it, and not Network Rail? The National Audit office said they ought to work more closely with Network Rail. Why not go further? Hi Tubby I ...

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Is it TE who's our resident rail expert? I'm sure there was a post in recent days from someone here who knows the industry quite well. Whoever it is, I'd appreciate your thoughts on the below: http://www.morningstaronline.co.uk/a-edce-Expert-Christian-Wolmar-demands-rail-renationalisation#.VKgoLXs0...

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Is it TE who's our resident rail expert? I'm sure there was a post in recent days from someone here who knows the industry quite well. Whoever it is, I'd appreciate your thoughts on the below: http://www.morningstaronline.co.uk/a-edce-Expert-Christian-Wolmar-demands-rail-renationalisation#.VKgoLXs0...

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Incidentally Greece looks messy, the inside track suggests they are heading for snap elections which the EU settlement rejectionists may actually win. In which case stand by for an interesting 6 months in the Euro zone. Seems that the Greek Parliament has just rejected the appointment of the nomina...

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ohsocynical wrote:So --- Who's getting snow? Rain here

Well outside my hotel bedroom window in Chelmsford its pouring with rain.

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Good Afternoon and Seasons Greetings to all. I have been in a hotel in Chelmsford since Christmas Eve so have been unable to contribute to the discussion. With regard to the closure of City Link many will not realise that its downfall was caused in part by the privatisation of the railways! City Lin...

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Mike Smithson ‏@MSmithsonPB 37s37 seconds ago
Latest polls from Opinium, ICM, TNS, ComRes online, ComRes phone all have CON in 20s. With YouGov the blues rarely out of the 30s.

Interesting think it really is a trend!

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Because I don't look any more. Is Nicholas B still talking about the moving averages and the next 5 polls on CIF?

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Bet this is what the Guardian/Observer highlights in its headlines:

Approval Ratings
Cameron -11
Miliband -28

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There's a bit of a trend now. Thank goodness!

Mike Smithson ‏@MSmithsonPB 1m1 minute ago
LAB takes 7% lead in latet Opinium poll for Observer
LAB 36+2
CON 29=
UKIP 16-3
LD 6=
GRN 5

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The "c-word" *is* pretty widely used for Chinese takeaways/restaurants in my experience. That doesn't make it right, though. I agree. Almost always round my way but I think AK and I both live in Derbyshire. I hasten to add it is never used disparagingly, it's merely how we shorten a lot o...

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StephenDolan wrote:The Guardian columnists really are pushing out copy for the awful post awards.

How Farage and Salmond – but not Miliband – ran Cameron ragged

http://gu.com/p/44bxp" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Of course that will be written by that brilliant wit John Crace.

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Good Morning Another day, another UKIP fallout today involving the memorable Winston McKenzie. Ah Well! Ukip suspend Winston McKenzie and Lambeth & Croydon North branch committee http://www.croydonadvertiser.co.uk/Ukip-suspend-Winston-McKenzie-Lambeth-Croydon/story-25740404-detail/story.html&quo...

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Kevin Maguire ‏@Kevin_Maguire 3m3 minutes ago So Cameron left early Northern Ireland peace talks early to go to an Ibiza-style rave for his wife's 40th in Chequers. FFS As is often said on this forum this man is contemptible . I can't imagine Brown, Blair, Major (or even Thatcher for that matter) s...

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UKIP are only on 13% but Greens are on 9%. Hmmmm. The polls really are all over the place aren't they. As Smithson said we've got two polls on the same day - one with a 5% lead for Labour and one with Conservatives 3% ahead. And elsewhere I see Farage's leader approval ratings have plunged since al...

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What's Ukip doing on that poll? UKIP are only on 13% but Greens are on 9%. Hmmmm. The polls really are all over the place aren't they. As Smithson said we've got two polls on the same day - one with a 5% lead for Labour and one with Conservatives 3% ahead. And elsewhere I see Farage's leader approv...

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Good Morning A new IPSOS Mori poll this morning shows the Tories leading Labour (CONS 32% LAB 29%) by 3%. So according to this poll Labour will only get the same % they achieved in 2010 although same poll shows LibDems down by 14% (2010 23%, This Poll 9%). I just don't see it as credible but maybe ...

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Good Morning A new IPSOS Mori poll this morning shows the Tories leading Labour (CONS 32% LAB 29%) by 3%. So according to this poll Labour will only get the same % they achieved in 2010 although same poll shows LibDems down by 14% (2010 23%, This Poll 9%). I just don't see it as credible but maybe I...

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Nomination for No 4 I think any article by John Crace is worthy of winning most awards in Categories 2, 4 or 7 However I nominate an article from right back in January which was so bad the Guardian highlighted on its politics page for the best part of three months "Have Balls and Miliband just ...

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UKIP Neath ‏@UKIPNeath 2h2 hours ago @Trumpton_UKIP any chance that you could stop tweeting? You're being really disrespectful to our party. Please stop. Best thing I've read all week. The Trumpton Tweets are really funny. Looks like taking the wee works. To which the best reply would be (from UKIP...

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I'm not sure if this is ground for celebration. Roy Greenslade ‏@GreensladeR 8m8 minutes ago Alan Rusbridger to step down! As he is moving to this Roy Greenslade ‏@GreensladeR 6m6 minutes ago Next summer, Alan Rusbridger will give up ads Guardian editor-in-chief to succeed Liz Forgan as chair of The...

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Spacedone wrote:So when did Twitter start disappearing trending topics?

Looks like something is going to be revealed

Dr Éoin Clarke ‏@LabourEoin 3m3 minutes ago
A very very interesting story brewing regarding the #CameronMustGo hashtag. I suspect experts in twitter analytics are going to be very busy

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BREAKING NEWS:UK Independence Party suspends general secretary Roger Bird over allegations of impropriety

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Glad to see UKIP are different from other parties!!
edited to make it closer to English.

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