FlyTheNest

AnatolyKasparov

I see the spammer is from Saudi Arabia.

Can't they do something useful - like telling their government not to send Wahabiist preachers over here to brainwash young Muslims?

AnatolyKasparov

Away from Scotland, it has been announced that the Heywood/Middleton by-election will be held on October 9 - same day as Clacton.

AnatolyKasparov

"I care about my country more than my party" - for once, a good line from Cameron.

Shame that so few - either side of the border - will actually believe him. But, hey, that where a relentless diet of Crosbyism will get you

AnatolyKasparov

And now it seems that Salmond is comparing an independent Scotland to post-apartheid South Africa.

Almost unbelievably offensive on all levels

AnatolyKasparov

I see that John Major has been exhumed to claim this is all Labour's fault. Where does he think we would be now if Scotland *hadn't* been granted home rule, FFS?

AnatolyKasparov

For all of the indy hysteria on all media fronts,I have yet to meet a single person actually talking about it without political forums.Even my ex husband,a Scot.Not even a mention. What are you all experiencing? I have heard it mentioned a bit, tbf - though that may be partly explainable by being r...

AnatolyKasparov

I've seen allegations that an SNP MSP was encouraging 'yes' supporters to sign up to YouGov last spring. If it's true, I'm curious to know whether it could have made any difference to their polling results. Surely polls can't be manipulated that easily? I thought it was common knowledge that CyberN...

AnatolyKasparov

letsskiptotheleft wrote:Rather good this:

http://labourlist.org/2014/09/a-message ... icked-lie/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

True also.

My MP, no less

AnatolyKasparov

My, admittedly cynical, view is that Cameron and Clegg are going to Scotland because they can't bear the thought of Labour (whether Brown or Miliband) getting credit for "saving" the union - and yes, I really do think they can be that petty minded :roll: And no, the PM doesn't "secre...

AnatolyKasparov

My, admittedly cynical, view is that Cameron and Clegg are going to Scotland because they can't bear the thought of Labour (whether Brown or Miliband) getting credit for "saving" the union - and yes, I really do think they can be that petty minded :roll: And no, the PM doesn't "secret...

AnatolyKasparov

It is good that the Murdoch/Salmond thing is doing the rounds now - it is so at odds with Nat rhetoric that some must wonder.......

AnatolyKasparov

You can bet your last quid if Scotland goes it will be Labour's fault, the murmurings have already started, here for example, it is also a fatalistic piece, rumours that Glasgow is going yes, Fife, Dundee also, once considered a safe unionist area. All conjecture at the moment, but I am finding it ...

AnatolyKasparov

TheGrimSqueaker wrote:
yahyah wrote:I've always liked Tea & Chocolate who posts on Cif, but her post this morning epitomises the madness some on the left seem to be suffering from.
I saw that. Doesn't trust Labour but does trust Salmond? Wow.

She has been very anti-Labour for a while now, regrettably.

AnatolyKasparov

Ah, that old "private polls" chestnut again. Wee Eck can't be quite as confident as he makes out if he needs to try that sort of disinformation :) And maybe Labour should go big on the Murdoch thing in the closing days? Iain Martin made a pertinent point earlier, Salmond is on the one han...

AnatolyKasparov

Ah, that old "private polls" chestnut again. Wee Eck can't be quite as confident as he makes out if he needs to try that sort of disinformation

And maybe Labour should go big on the Murdoch thing in the closing days?

AnatolyKasparov

Where is it? North of Manchester, south of Rochdale basically.

He was in the HoC just two days ago voting against the "bedroom tax" - this has come right out of the blue despite his age

RIP.

AnatolyKasparov

But.....but.......Ed once looked a bit funny eating a bacon sandwich, you know! And *that* is AMAZINGLY IMPORTANT

AnatolyKasparov

PanelBase poll has "no" ahead in Scotland by 52-48, unchanged on their last poll.

Intriguingly, the regular YouGov has a majority of its Scottish voters against independence, and that becomes a massive margin in England/Wales.

AnatolyKasparov

Sorry to hear that, yahyah - its always horrible

AnatolyKasparov

Do you reckon on the 18th of this month all campaigning will cease, like it does on the day of the GE? If so, 11 days, and counting down. ;) Officially speaking that is the case, yes. Though I hear that some are now worried about intimidation and harassment outside polling stations by "yes&quo...

AnatolyKasparov

Caroline Lucas doing well on Any Questions. She did very well. And you will be pleased to hear that we heard Natalie Bennet outlining Green Party policies on minimum citizens income on the radio the other day as we were driving home and Mr Riots said to me 'how good it is to hear some genuinely rad...

AnatolyKasparov

Murdoch and Farage have a secret meeting in NY, I wouldn't put it past the old bugger to endorse the Kippers, not for a minute. http://www.breitbart.com/Breitbart-London/2014/09/05/EXCLUSIVE-Farage-and-Murdoch-in-private-meeting-in-New-York-City" onclick="window.open(this.href);return fal...

AnatolyKasparov

TheGrimSqueaker wrote:I'm really getting up Sparrow's nose today; surely I can't be alone in thinking this more important than what is on the menu in Wales for the politicians and the hacks?

I doubt if it was entirely AS's decision what he is covering today, tbf. He doesn't normally do Fridays at all, of course

AnatolyKasparov

letsskiptotheleft wrote:Did the Green's win a seat on Herefordshire CC last night, thus denying the Cons full control?

No, that happened several weeks ago!

Some real tinfoil hattists on Andrew's blog today, btw

AnatolyKasparov

pk1 wrote:Populus:

Lab 38 (+2)
Con 32 (nc)
LD 8 (-1)
UKIP 14 (-1)
Oth 8 (nc).

Most unusual lately for a Friday Populus to be so favourable to Labour so enjoy but bear in mind that it might well be a sampling error.

Labour lead went up on Friday a few weeks ago as well.

AnatolyKasparov

I wonder if the recent polls in Scotland will actually concentrate minds in a way not entirely to Salmond's liking?? It is one thing to sound off about "Cameron......Tories......so I'm voting yes" when "no" looks certain to win anyway. But if "the unthinkable" genuinely...

AnatolyKasparov

As I said yesterday, some in the media have also started to notice the Tory party isn't in a great state - intellectually or organisationally. Also notable - in contrast to a year ago - that efforts to get anti-Ed bandwagons going in the media (most recently Watt the other day) are falling flat. (al...

AnatolyKasparov

Some of the seats high on that Labour "target" list are simply loopy - Knowsley, for instance, has no UKIP presence to speak of whatsoever.

"Demographics" ain't everything.

AnatolyKasparov

Meanwhile, back in Clacton.........

Roger Lord has quit UKIP, resigned his council seat, and endorsed..........wait for it..........the LIBDEMS!!!!

AnatolyKasparov

TechnicalEphemera wrote:
Tubby Isaacs wrote:
It will be interesting to see where this polling goes as the novelty wears off in the next week or so.

Doubt if there will be a massive difference, tbh - barring something totally unexpected derailing him, Carswell is going to win.

AnatolyKasparov

I think that only made a point or so's difference - they have tended to produce higher Tory figures than many other pollsters for a while now.

AnatolyKasparov

Morning all. Labour lead at 1 point on Yougov: Latest YouGov / Sunday Times results 1st September - Con 34%, ( +2 ) Lab 35%, ( -1 ) LD 7%, (no change) UKIP 14%; ( -2 ) APP -23 ( +2 ) Let's also mention the 7 pointer shall we, even if it is ComRes? :) Curious that YouGov seems to be giving smaller L...

AnatolyKasparov

From the Guardian tickertape thingy: Breaking news: Labour suspends four councillors in Rotherham in the aftermath of the child sex abuse scandal. More details soon… I heard the most twisted interpretation of the Shaun Wright debacle the other day ... a Tory commentator on the radio said how disgus...

AnatolyKasparov

Andrew being back at the other place today brings home that the run-in to the GE is effectively starting now. Its going to be a hectic nine months - are you sitting comfortably? ;) No, actually I'm not, it's going to be a dirty, stinking campaign, I am not confident where it will go and what the re...

AnatolyKasparov

Andrew being back at the other place today brings home that the run-in to the GE is effectively starting now.

Its going to be a hectic nine months - are you sitting comfortably?

AnatolyKasparov

Dudley South MP Chris Kelly is to stand down at the General Election, he has revealed tonight http://www.expressandstar.com/news/2014/08/31/dudley-south-mp-chris-kelly-to-quit-parliament-at-election/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false; Oops - there goes another one.... :lol: He...

AnatolyKasparov

Quite a few Labour people have said they want PPC's scrapped now. I don't think there is much doubt it will happen if Labour are elected next year.

AnatolyKasparov

I made the comparison between Clacton and Dick Taverne in Lincoln back in 1973, just after the byelection was announced. Survation backs that up. It also shows having BoJo as Tory candidate would make naff-all difference. Amusing given all the media calls that Cameron should "beg" him to s...

AnatolyKasparov

That poll was mostly taken before Carswell, I understand.

AnatolyKasparov

Carswell has already been selected as UKIP candidate for the byelection, according to the party's NEC. That's a reason why Lord is so naffed off

AnatolyKasparov

The recently leaked UKIP "target list" (which they haven't exactly strenuously denied) had just one of its 12 seats Labour held - Great Grimsby.

Constituencies in S Yorkshire, in particular, were notable by their absence. That may have changed with recent events (or perhaps not)

AnatolyKasparov

This is something on which he really is the "heir to Blair"

AnatolyKasparov

I admire his optimism, but it would take a pretty freakish set of circumstances tbh.

And what is his reference to "Sept" all about?

AnatolyKasparov

Roger Lord apparently threatening to stand for the Tories now. I am sure they are delighted

AnatolyKasparov

Will the Kippers, those who've spouted so often about Ed 'knifing' his brother, complain about Roger Lord being pooped on by Carswell & Farage ? They certainly can't crow about "local candidates not being imposed by the party centre" any longer. Carswell didn't even have the courtesy ...

AnatolyKasparov

There has been some discussion re the timing of this by-election with regard to the party conferences. Worth remembering there, then, that the order this year is different to usual - the LibDem gathering would normally be in the week ending 20th September, but the Scottish referendum means it has be...

AnatolyKasparov

SY deputy PCC Tracey Cheetham has resigned in the face of the Rotherham child abuse report. She is from Barnsley (so not implicated in this mess) a good sort and a Labour loyalist. I think she will be as disgusted at Wright's behaviour (not least jettisoning the party to save his own skin) as many.

AnatolyKasparov

Sure, its a bit of an embarrassment - and the point about their hypocrisy when they regularly lambast other parties "parachuted" candidates is well made. I wouldn't be surprised if some local UKIPpers wanted to support Carswell now, though (indeed, they might have been encouraging him to d...

AnatolyKasparov

Doesn't really matter, tbh.

The UKIP national executive has always had the final say in selecting Westminster by-election candidates - and certainly will use their powers in this instance

AnatolyKasparov

I suppose if we are being pedantic, he was selected as UKIP candidate for the GE? (and I expect Carswell might have informed him of this before most people - not good planning otherwise) Labour already have someone in place for next year too - the party *could* decide to pick somebody else for this,...

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