FlyTheNest

AnatolyKasparov

TheGrimSqueaker wrote:I'm really getting up Sparrow's nose today; surely I can't be alone in thinking this more important than what is on the menu in Wales for the politicians and the hacks?

I doubt if it was entirely AS's decision what he is covering today, tbf. He doesn't normally do Fridays at all, of course

AnatolyKasparov

letsskiptotheleft wrote:Did the Green's win a seat on Herefordshire CC last night, thus denying the Cons full control?

No, that happened several weeks ago!

Some real tinfoil hattists on Andrew's blog today, btw

AnatolyKasparov

pk1 wrote:Populus:

Lab 38 (+2)
Con 32 (nc)
LD 8 (-1)
UKIP 14 (-1)
Oth 8 (nc).

Most unusual lately for a Friday Populus to be so favourable to Labour so enjoy but bear in mind that it might well be a sampling error.

Labour lead went up on Friday a few weeks ago as well.

AnatolyKasparov

I wonder if the recent polls in Scotland will actually concentrate minds in a way not entirely to Salmond's liking?? It is one thing to sound off about "Cameron......Tories......so I'm voting yes" when "no" looks certain to win anyway. But if "the unthinkable" genuinely...

AnatolyKasparov

As I said yesterday, some in the media have also started to notice the Tory party isn't in a great state - intellectually or organisationally. Also notable - in contrast to a year ago - that efforts to get anti-Ed bandwagons going in the media (most recently Watt the other day) are falling flat. (al...

AnatolyKasparov

Some of the seats high on that Labour "target" list are simply loopy - Knowsley, for instance, has no UKIP presence to speak of whatsoever.

"Demographics" ain't everything.

AnatolyKasparov

Meanwhile, back in Clacton.........

Roger Lord has quit UKIP, resigned his council seat, and endorsed..........wait for it..........the LIBDEMS!!!!

AnatolyKasparov

TechnicalEphemera wrote:
Tubby Isaacs wrote:
It will be interesting to see where this polling goes as the novelty wears off in the next week or so.

Doubt if there will be a massive difference, tbh - barring something totally unexpected derailing him, Carswell is going to win.

AnatolyKasparov

I think that only made a point or so's difference - they have tended to produce higher Tory figures than many other pollsters for a while now.

AnatolyKasparov

Morning all. Labour lead at 1 point on Yougov: Latest YouGov / Sunday Times results 1st September - Con 34%, ( +2 ) Lab 35%, ( -1 ) LD 7%, (no change) UKIP 14%; ( -2 ) APP -23 ( +2 ) Let's also mention the 7 pointer shall we, even if it is ComRes? :) Curious that YouGov seems to be giving smaller L...

AnatolyKasparov

From the Guardian tickertape thingy: Breaking news: Labour suspends four councillors in Rotherham in the aftermath of the child sex abuse scandal. More details soon… I heard the most twisted interpretation of the Shaun Wright debacle the other day ... a Tory commentator on the radio said how disgus...

AnatolyKasparov

Andrew being back at the other place today brings home that the run-in to the GE is effectively starting now. Its going to be a hectic nine months - are you sitting comfortably? ;) No, actually I'm not, it's going to be a dirty, stinking campaign, I am not confident where it will go and what the re...

AnatolyKasparov

Andrew being back at the other place today brings home that the run-in to the GE is effectively starting now.

Its going to be a hectic nine months - are you sitting comfortably?

AnatolyKasparov

Dudley South MP Chris Kelly is to stand down at the General Election, he has revealed tonight http://www.expressandstar.com/news/2014/08/31/dudley-south-mp-chris-kelly-to-quit-parliament-at-election/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false; Oops - there goes another one.... :lol: He...

AnatolyKasparov

Quite a few Labour people have said they want PPC's scrapped now. I don't think there is much doubt it will happen if Labour are elected next year.

AnatolyKasparov

I made the comparison between Clacton and Dick Taverne in Lincoln back in 1973, just after the byelection was announced. Survation backs that up. It also shows having BoJo as Tory candidate would make naff-all difference. Amusing given all the media calls that Cameron should "beg" him to s...

AnatolyKasparov

That poll was mostly taken before Carswell, I understand.

AnatolyKasparov

Carswell has already been selected as UKIP candidate for the byelection, according to the party's NEC. That's a reason why Lord is so naffed off

AnatolyKasparov

The recently leaked UKIP "target list" (which they haven't exactly strenuously denied) had just one of its 12 seats Labour held - Great Grimsby.

Constituencies in S Yorkshire, in particular, were notable by their absence. That may have changed with recent events (or perhaps not)

AnatolyKasparov

This is something on which he really is the "heir to Blair"

AnatolyKasparov

I admire his optimism, but it would take a pretty freakish set of circumstances tbh.

And what is his reference to "Sept" all about?

AnatolyKasparov

Roger Lord apparently threatening to stand for the Tories now. I am sure they are delighted

AnatolyKasparov

Will the Kippers, those who've spouted so often about Ed 'knifing' his brother, complain about Roger Lord being pooped on by Carswell & Farage ? They certainly can't crow about "local candidates not being imposed by the party centre" any longer. Carswell didn't even have the courtesy ...

AnatolyKasparov

There has been some discussion re the timing of this by-election with regard to the party conferences. Worth remembering there, then, that the order this year is different to usual - the LibDem gathering would normally be in the week ending 20th September, but the Scottish referendum means it has be...

AnatolyKasparov

SY deputy PCC Tracey Cheetham has resigned in the face of the Rotherham child abuse report. She is from Barnsley (so not implicated in this mess) a good sort and a Labour loyalist. I think she will be as disgusted at Wright's behaviour (not least jettisoning the party to save his own skin) as many.

AnatolyKasparov

Sure, its a bit of an embarrassment - and the point about their hypocrisy when they regularly lambast other parties "parachuted" candidates is well made. I wouldn't be surprised if some local UKIPpers wanted to support Carswell now, though (indeed, they might have been encouraging him to d...

AnatolyKasparov

Doesn't really matter, tbh.

The UKIP national executive has always had the final say in selecting Westminster by-election candidates - and certainly will use their powers in this instance

AnatolyKasparov

I suppose if we are being pedantic, he was selected as UKIP candidate for the GE? (and I expect Carswell might have informed him of this before most people - not good planning otherwise) Labour already have someone in place for next year too - the party *could* decide to pick somebody else for this,...

AnatolyKasparov

Leftwing Jeremy Vine calling article by Allison Pearson brilliant. It seems to be called "who is the racist now?" or something. I assume that is sarcasm ;) Pearson *was* on the left once - before she decided churning out formulaic why-oh-why guff for the Heil and now Torygraph was what sh...

AnatolyKasparov

JohnnyT1234 is a little frustrated by the Graun's tolerance of Rustinpeace Johnny is doing great work there, expressing the frustration that (obviously) quite a few feel about that loathsome piece of pond scum & his alter ego. Rusty's constant trolling and twitchy reporting finger is shutting d...

AnatolyKasparov

JohnnyT1234 is a little frustrated by the Graun's tolerance of Rustinpeace: So, yesterday, the forum's arse reached a new low-of-all-time-lows in his dismal efforts to constantly wind everyone up. How is that possible, you may ask, when he's already scraped the bottom of the barrel so often here th...

AnatolyKasparov

TechnicalEphemera wrote:
AnatolyKasparov wrote:Tory MP Douglas Carswell has defected to UKIP.
Well that is their one MP until 2015. I wonder if Mad Nad will now go over the top, or wait until after the election.

Well, as you subsequently say that depends if others follow his lead. It's not impossible.......

AnatolyKasparov

Tory MP Douglas Carswell has defected to UKIP.

AnatolyKasparov

Unbelievably, there are still pundits trying to claim events in the past year proved Ed was wrong

AnatolyKasparov

yahyah wrote:
AnatolyKasparov wrote:Its nice up here
Can I come and visit please. [Where are you by the way?]

Strong wind and showers have put paid to any notion of gardening this afternoon

Cumbria - have mentioned it before

AnatolyKasparov

Rotherham is an interesting constrast to Doncaster, actually. There, a previously complacent and at times corrupt Labour "fiefdom" *has* been reformed.

It can also be done next door if there is the will.

AnatolyKasparov

Calls this morning for South Yorkshire PCC Shaun Wright to resign because he was in charge of Children's Services at Rotherham Council between 2005 and 2010. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-south-yorkshire-28947707 Hard to disagree, tbh. Rotherham council is a basket case and has been for year...

AnatolyKasparov

Its nice up here

AnatolyKasparov

Anatoly, as a pro union non Englishman, I am stunned at the anglocentric London press and their coverage. It's not Salmond driving this it is the impact of corruption in Westminster which Labour is a part of. Darling paid thousands by NHS privatisation firm. Says it all about Labour. http://newsnet...

AnatolyKasparov

The latest Populus poll is out - Labour lead unchanged but UKIP gains: Lab 38 Con 32 UKIP 14 LibDem 8. The more surveys like this in the run up to the referendum, the less likely a "yes" vote....... Not with Rachel Reeves doing her tougher than IDS act. Not with Tristrum Hunt doing his im...

AnatolyKasparov

I'm coming to the conclusion that there is a damn good chance Scotland will vote yes. I wouldnt have said that 6 months ago. I think you might be right - sad to say. (well I find it sad) Curiously, only the You-Gov polls seem to see any significant narrowing of the gap in favour of 'yes'. http://ww...

AnatolyKasparov

The latest Populus poll is out - Labour lead unchanged but UKIP gains: Lab 38 Con 32 UKIP 14 LibDem 8.

The more surveys like this in the run up to the referendum, the less likely a "yes" vote.......

AnatolyKasparov

Hi there everybody

To answer the question just asked - "no" have been ahead throughout, though by varying margins.

The "quickie" survey last night gave a big Salmond "win" in the debate - but also claimed it had made no difference to referendum VI.

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