FlyTheNest

WelshIan

LDs hold Orkney. Not a clean sweep for SNP!

WelshIan

StephenDolan wrote:'Mike O’Brien, the former Labour minister, has failed to take North Warwickshire back from the Conservatives. The Tories’ majority in 2010 was just 54, and this was Labour’s top target. '

Tory majority now 3000!

WelshIan

SNP take Jim Murphy's seat

WelshIan

pk1 wrote:Your seat has been the only LD hold so far yahyah & Plaid have 3 I think

Plaid have 2 at the moment, vote share slightly up on 2010 so far (0.1%).

BBC are quite comprehensive here, not sure how quickly they are updating:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2015/results

WelshIan

Cons gain Brecon

WelshIan

to all, and especially yahyah.

WelshIan

Neil Kinnock good here (on the BBC) There are enough people who are willing to accept that myth and then think they are voting for their own security by voting for Conservative candidates ... The awful thing is, it’s not simply those people who, relatively innocently, are working against their own i...

WelshIan

pk1 wrote:@PaulTwinn
Rumour from the count in Southwark says it looks like Simon Hughes might have lost his seat to Labour.

good. fingers crossed.

WelshIan

Anyway, we need to wait and see what the final picture is. Labour may end up with 10 more seats than the exit poll suggests and that gives a rather different view of the end result. Not sure about that. Tories must have Labour seats in play on this result. Yeah, hadn't seen the Nuneaton swing when ...

WelshIan

My own feeling is: #1 - make sure Miliband stays as leader Agree 100% Absolutely. I agree he has to stay. But how many MPs will agree with that? The press will be saying he has to go, and that will be relentless, and people like Danczuk will also say he has to go. Anyway, we need to wait and see wh...

WelshIan

GetYou wrote:This is horrible, like 92 all over again. Lib dems going over to the Tories, ukip taking more from labour than the Tories, worst of all worlds. Bollockios

And Scotland going almost completely SNP.

WelshIan

cons hold battersea - swing lab to con 1.7%

WelshIan

Nationalism has turned the country (UK) to shit. Well done. Not just nationalism, the right wing media have made sure people are not informed about how bad this government is, and has suppressed any alternative view. I thought people were better than this. Looks like they're going to have to learn ...

WelshIan

tinyclanger2 wrote:Nationalism has turned the country (UK) to shit. Well done.

Not just nationalism, the right wing media have made sure people are not informed about how bad this government is, and has suppressed any alternative view.

I thought people were better than this.

WelshIan

mikems wrote:Nuneaton is the 35th on the marginal target list for Labour to win. 2069 majority defended by tories.

We're pretty fucked if that one doesn't go. Tories quietly confident of keeping it.

WelshIan

Thanks for the pics, both!

WelshIan

The Mirror is as distraught as us at that exit poll.

Their front page is black with '5 more damned years?'

Sorry, don't know how to put a picture in (http://www.mirror.co.uk/)

WelshIan

mbc1955 wrote:I'm following things via a combination of here and the Guardian (old habits die hard). I can't face any television. Not now.

Channel 4 is ok - tried BBC and ITV and couldn't stick them.

I'm still in shock, though, at that exit poll

WelshIan

But then apparently the swing to Labour is lower in the marginals, more like 3-3.5% according to Anthony Wells, though that was a few days ago, and maybe it's even lower now. I see this figure now quite a lot, but struggle to understand what it means. For starters, it depends on whether you include...

WelshIan

Morning All, A couple of questions: Will the SNP support the implementation of Leveson, if Labour have to rely on them? I seem to remember that if Labour and the Tories have the same percentage voter share, then Labour gets more seats? If it is neck and neck in the polls then shouldn't this mean th...

WelshIan

Morning All, A couple of questions: Will the SNP support the implementation of Leveson, if Labour have to rely on them? I seem to remember that if Labour and the Tories have the same percentage voter share, then Labour gets more seats? If it is neck and neck in the polls then shouldn't this mean tha...

WelshIan

Thanks for the recent posts - those polling figures look quite promising. I was feeling quite down today, someone we have spent a lot of time talking to about politics and the differences between the parties announced that she was considering the LibDems because they sounded quite good on the radio....

WelshIan

Good morning! afternoon! I am currently limiting my exposure to the news, etc as I am disgusted by the way the Tories are running their campaign, and the support they are getting in the MSM. The Tory campaign can be summed up by the quote attributed to Socrates ‘When the debate is lost, slander beco...

WelshIan

I heard that the SNP, in any pact with Labour, will insist on Father Christmas delivering all of the presents to Scotland.

WelshIan

The deaths in the Med are awful, and every EU government should hang their heads in shame for not funding search and rescue properly. Apologies for dragging politics into this subject, but David Cameron was lying when he said this yesterday: The PM said the decision to end the Mare Nostrum operation...

WelshIan

Best odds, if seriously considering a bet, are now evens http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-uk-general-election/prime-minister-after-general-election" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false; I took 5/4 last week, but plan no further investment. The odds market...

WelshIan

Best odds, if seriously considering a bet, are now evens http://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-uk-general-election/prime-minister-after-general-election" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false; I took 5/4 last week, but plan no further investment. The odds market...

WelshIan

I've read some barking Westminster seat projections recently, but but this takes the bloody biscuit. And pisses all over that biscuit and now I've got to eat it. Well, here's the news, Malcolm - I will not eat the pissy biscuit.* http://moneyweek.com/election-2015-why-david-cameron-will-remain-prim...

WelshIan

Have only just been watching it for 10 minutes and it feels to me that Ed is having a hard time from the audience. Bennett, to my husband comes across as a harridan, & to me as a stupid moo. If she were genuinely a left winger she would have been supporting Ed when he said that Farage had wante...

WelshIan

When they're all promising except Farage that is...they won't prop up a Tory government the audience claps. and the way to do that is to vote Labour. A Labour majority definitely means no Tory government. I hope Scottish voters think about this - a vote for Labour is a vote directly against a Tory ...

WelshIan

Nigel Farage

don't insult the audience!

WelshIan

Apparently the government now organises sporting events! We will deliver the Rugby World Cup in 2015, the World Athletics Championship in 2017, IPC World Championships in 2017 and the Cricket World Cup in 2019, maximising the opportunities for tourism and jobs. Aren't they just great? And there was...

WelshIan

Morning everyone. I haven't watched Newsnight in a long time, but watched most of it last night after Jack Dee's rather poor election 'comedy' panel show (including the now obligatory dig at Ed M). Allegra Stratton on the Labour manifesto was rather sneery, especially the end where she said somethin...

WelshIan

A rare article touching on one of my personal hobby horses. Pitt’s rule for non-doms is only one tax that belongs in the dustbin of history Heather Stewart http://www.theguardian.com/business/2015/apr/12/non-doms-one-tax-law-belongs-in-dustbin-of-history" onclick="window.open(this.href);r...

WelshIan

100 posts! How did that happen?

I've got some Welsh cakes here to celebrate, help yourselves.

WelshIan

I like the Guardian's display of the polls and poll projections, it's very clean and clear. http://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng-interactive/2015/feb/27/guardian-poll-projection" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false; What do you think about Electoral Calculus? Link below. http:/...

WelshIan

It's an article that's more designed to embarrass Labour than anything else - The Graun's usual modus operandi. I suspect the Graun will back the Greens at the next election. One thing does puzzle me above all: why is Labour criticised as being middle class. when all the Greens I've ever met are ha...

WelshIan

I like the Guardian's display of the polls and poll projections, it's very clean and clear.

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/ng- ... projection" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

WelshIan

...I do tend to get involved in a lot of conversations about politics however, and surprise a lot of people with my declaration of being an adherent of Marxism (the response of 'that doesn't apply to now' could be almost 'scripted', it is so prevalent) ... No wonder people don't think it applies no...

WelshIan

A story I linked to in the Guardian in last night's thread is now the top story on the Telegraph's home page How George Osborne's Budget Jokes Cost Britain £81million Edited to add... in an 'isn't this interesting' way, not as in 'all hail the power of FTN'. Reading Osborne's speech I was surprised...

WelshIan

We have also created a fairer tax system—further proof that we are all in this together. The share of income tax paid by the top 1% of taxpayers is projected to rise from 25% in 2010 to over 27% this year. That is higher than in any one of the 13 years of the last Labour Government. We are getting ...

WelshIan

Budget 2015: George Osborne to announce tidal power scheme World first proposed for Swansea Bay could increase government’s green credentials but chancellor is also offering subsidy for North Sea oil firms http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/mar/17/budget-2015-george-osborne-announce-uk-tidal-...

WelshIan

Michael Gove's speech to the Legatum Institute this week, launching the Good Right initiative: http://www.newstatesman.com/politics/2015/03/whats-good-about-right" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false; Is he positioning himself for the leadership race after the election? It's a lon...

WelshIan

nmw.png Further to the discussion of the ONS real earnings growth chart yesterday, I thought I would see where on the chart the National Minimum Wage (NMW) would be. I've recreated the chart in a simpler way and added NMW in. I've only gone back to 2006, as they only had data back to 2005 on the go...

WelshIan

I think I finally understand the ONS chart from JA! The chart splits workers up into bands based on their rate of wage increases. What the chart shows (and the numbers behind it) is that if you are in the bottom 25% of workers (based on your rate of wage increase) your wages have consistently failed...

WelshIan

there are two get outs. Miliband says he wants (i) a head to head debate and (ii) a seven way debate Without Cameron, there will be neither. So no, he won't be attending any debates with other leaders if Cameron is not present. Yes, there is wriggle room in what has been said today regarding the de...

WelshIan

My last day as a licence fee payer today! How do the BBC intend to mark this momentous occasion? Well there's hour after hour of egg-chasing followed by a crap singing competition, a cheap hospital soap and then loads more over-punditted sport. What have I done?! Nowt wrong with egg-chasing! Today ...

WelshIan

A treasure trove of data. http://www.electionforecast.co.uk/tables/predicted_vote_by_seat.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false; Wirral West listed as 40% each for Labour and Conservatives. A good site, thanks. Interesting to note that it gives the 'house effect' of each poll...

WelshIan

RR2 - Sorry to hear about Musica.

WelshIan

Willow from last night: Thanks for the info, although I have to confess I'm more confused than ever. If participation in education or training for 16 and 17 year olds was 93.9% in 2010 and is now 92.8%, the policy to have all young people in education until 18 introduced in 2013 seems to have had th...

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