Thursday 8th June 2017

tinyclanger2 · Post by **tinyclanger2** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:02 pm

NEWCASTLE: LABOUR HOLD

Liberal Democrats - 1.812
Conservative 9,134
UKIP 1.482
Labour 24071

Post by **refitman** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:04 pm

tinyclanger2 wrote:NEWCASTLE: LABOUR HOLD

Liberal Democrats - 1.812
Conservative 9,134
UKIP 1.482
Labour 24071

Labour increase their majority by 2k+.

Although this is a bad thing according to the Beeb (down on exit poll).

StephenDolan · Post by **StephenDolan** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:05 pm

refitman wrote:
tinyclanger2 wrote:NEWCASTLE: LABOUR HOLD

Liberal Democrats - 1.812
Conservative 9,134
UKIP 1.482
Labour 24071
Labour increase their majority by 2k+.

Although this is a bad thing according to the Beeb (down on exit poll).

Indeed. This is a bad result according to Kelner.

PorFavor · Post by **PorFavor** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:06 pm

refitman wrote:
tinyclanger2 wrote:NEWCASTLE: LABOUR HOLD

Liberal Democrats - 1.812
Conservative 9,134
UKIP 1.482
Labour 24071
Labour increase their majority by 2k+.

Although this is a bad thing according to the Beeb (down on exit poll).

Sky doesn't agree with the BBC. Change channels!

PorFavor · Post by **PorFavor** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:08 pm

Labour hold Houghton and Sunderland South.

Temulkar · Post by **Temulkar** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:11 pm

Turnout is up 10% roughly in both. Kids have come out, it seems.

Post by **refitman** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:15 pm

AAAaaaarrgghhhh!!!!

Neil fucking Hamilton

PorFavor · Post by **PorFavor** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:15 pm

George Osborne suggests May could have to resign

On ITV George Osborne, the former Conservative chancellor, said he thought Theresa May could have to resign if the exit poll is accurate. (Guardian)

tinyclanger2 · Post by **tinyclanger2** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:22 pm

Tom Newton Dunn‏Verified account
@tnewtondunn
Follow
More
Senior Tories have now crunched their own numbers, and are convinced the exit poll is wrong. "It simply just doesn’t add up"
https://twitter.com/search?q=kellner+ex ... r%5Esearch" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

tinyclanger2 · Post by **tinyclanger2** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:22 pm

refitman wrote:AAAaaaarrgghhhh!!!!

Neil fucking Hamilton

Hit the mute button pretty fast at this end

tinyclanger2 · Post by **tinyclanger2** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:25 pm

Fuller results from Houghton and Sunderland South paint a more complex picture.
But the result is a 3.5% swing Labour to Conservative – the opposite to what the exit poll predicted.

RogerOThornhill · Post by **RogerOThornhill** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:27 pm

I note that Dan Hodges isn't the only one to admit to voting Tory...Brendan "We're still Marxists over at Spiked honest!" O'Neill did too.

What a surprise...and odd that presumably this was the only option.

Sky'sGoneOut · Post by **Sky'sGoneOut** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:28 pm

Why doesn't reality have a fast forward button?

Stupid laws of physics.

tinyclanger2 · Post by **tinyclanger2** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:34 pm

Jessica Elgot
(@jessicaelgot)
Another Labour MP texts: "I don't believe it. There is no way we have gained 34 seats. Look at the swing against us in Sunderland."

AngryAsWell · Post by **AngryAsWell** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:35 pm

Smiles on Labour faces in Hastings........

Sky'sGoneOut · Post by **Sky'sGoneOut** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:37 pm

RogerOThornhill wrote:Brendan "We're still Marxists over at Spiked honest!" O'Neill did too.

Surely the ultimate contrarian act for a witless prick like O'Neill would have been to vote Labour? I would have expected him to vote Tory.

AngryAsWell · Post by **AngryAsWell** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:40 pm

Amber Rudd is refusing to give any interviews. #Exitpoll #ge2017 #Hastings

" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

tinyclanger2 · Post by **tinyclanger2** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:41 pm

Priti Patel on - I know she has many fans on here ...

tinyclanger2 · Post by **tinyclanger2** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:42 pm

Reckons PM been very detailed about something I'm not allowed to mention like "taking back control".
How much more detail could we cope with?

PorFavor · Post by **PorFavor** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:42 pm

Switched (very briefly) to the BBC. They are desperately downplaying the relevence of exit polls.

Fingers crossed for Amber Rudd (if you catch my drift).

PorFavor · Post by **PorFavor** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:43 pm

tinyclanger2 wrote:Priti Patel on - I know she has many fans on here ...

I'm lovin' her.

PorFavor · Post by **PorFavor** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:45 pm

Sunderland Central - Labour hold.

tinyclanger2 · Post by **tinyclanger2** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:46 pm

Labour in Sunderland Central but better for cons than exit poll suggested

tinyclanger2 · Post by **tinyclanger2** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:47 pm

PorFavor wrote:
tinyclanger2 wrote:Priti Patel on - I know she has many fans on here ...

I'm lovin' her.

Are you clear about that?

tinyclanger2 · Post by **tinyclanger2** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:47 pm

Mute button getting a lot of action

PorFavor · Post by **PorFavor** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:48 pm

Jason Farrell (@JasonFarrellSky)

Armed police arrive outside Jeremy Corbyn's house. Is that a sign of his increased political status? They weren't here before the exit poll.
June 8, 2017

(Guardian)

tinyclanger2 · Post by **tinyclanger2** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:51 pm

Jon Stone ✔ @joncstone
Trend of results in the North East so far shows two effects: solid increases in turnout benefiting Labour, while Tories take 2015 UKIP votes

tinyclanger2 · Post by **tinyclanger2** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:54 pm

http://www.independent.co.uk/News/uk/po ... 80291.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Exit poll may be overestimating Labour’s performance in election, first two results suggest
John Curtice, who worked on the exit poll that has called all recent elections correctly, pointed out the difference between the projected and actual results but did not appear to worry that his projections could be dramatically wrong.

Sky'sGoneOut · Post by **Sky'sGoneOut** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:56 pm

Hmmm...I do believe we are entering squeaky bum territory. Either the North East results are outliers or the exit poll is bollocks.

55DegreesNorth · Post by **55DegreesNorth** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:57 pm

Nick Brown just held my seat.
If you know what I mean.

PorFavor · Post by **PorFavor** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:59 pm

Conservatives hold Swindon - but swing to Labour.
Conservatives apparently doing worse than exit poll suggested. Labour doing better.

tinyclanger2 · Post by **tinyclanger2** » Thu 08 Jun, 2017 11:59 pm

Last two results better for Labour than exit poll predicted according to Curtice

tinyclanger2 · Post by **tinyclanger2** » Fri 09 Jun, 2017 12:00 am

Clanger and PF in election mindmeld

PorFavor · Post by **PorFavor** » Fri 09 Jun, 2017 12:04 am

The Sky political correspondent (Beth Rigby?) is conspicuous by her absence. I said earlier that thought she was good (apart from the missing "g"s).

Sky'sGoneOut · Post by **Sky'sGoneOut** » Fri 09 Jun, 2017 12:05 am

And I spoke too soon.

This is going to be a long night, thankfully I'm not even finished my first bottle of wine.

tinyclanger2 · Post by **tinyclanger2** » Fri 09 Jun, 2017 12:05 am

Dimbleby not at all "clear" on how many results are in

PorFavor · Post by **PorFavor** » Fri 09 Jun, 2017 12:07 am

Whoops - just missed a result whilst I was wittering. It was a Labour hold, though.

It was Washington and Sunderland West.

Turnout thought to be up 3-4%, apparently.

tinyclanger2 · Post by **tinyclanger2** » Fri 09 Jun, 2017 12:09 am

(but more to cons than predicted from EP)

tinyclanger2 · Post by **tinyclanger2** » Fri 09 Jun, 2017 12:11 am

Britain Elects @britainelects
#GE2017: Newcastle upon Tyne East:
Lab: 67.6% (+18.1)
Con: 21.3% (+3.7)
LDem: 6.2% (-4.9)
UKIP: 3.2% (-9.4)
Grn: 1.8% (-6.9)

PorFavor · Post by **PorFavor** » Fri 09 Jun, 2017 12:15 am

Newcastle Upon Tyne North - Labour hold.

howsillyofme1 · Post by **howsillyofme1** » Fri 09 Jun, 2017 12:16 am

Hi all

Looking better than predicted a week or so ago

I would be cautious about the criticism of the Exit Poll - go and have a look at UKPR as they are looking at the YouGov Nowcast that has been bang on, and is suggesting Labour has been underestimated even

The media is embarrassed, and in some case scared, about a Labour Government

Even now Dimbleby is behaving like the complete knob he is

I don't know where it is going but it is not going to be a landslide....Labour were 20 points behind at the start of the campaign.....!!!!!!

tinyclanger2 · Post by **tinyclanger2** » Fri 09 Jun, 2017 12:16 am

Ken Clarke says (own party) has not bothered to tell party what Brexit means (other than Brexit) and was taken back by news that they were calling an election

tinyclanger2 · Post by **tinyclanger2** » Fri 09 Jun, 2017 12:18 am

Donaeld The Unready‏ @donaeldunready 46m

Exit poll. Pursued by bear.

NonOxCol · Post by **NonOxCol** » Fri 09 Jun, 2017 12:20 am

I've been avoiding the BBC of course, and I don't have Sky.

ITV are - how can I put this? - trying my patience all of a sudden.

Andy Coulson. No, really.

Post by **refitman** » Fri 09 Jun, 2017 12:20 am

ITV have got Disgraced former editor Andy Coulson on. You wouldn't have thought he'd be rehabilitated so soon.

Post by **refitman** » Fri 09 Jun, 2017 12:22 am

NonOxCol wrote:I've been avoiding the BBC of course, and I don't have Sky.

ITV are - how can I put this? - trying my patience all of a sudden.

Andy Coulson. No, really.

Turned over, turned back.

PorFavor · Post by **PorFavor** » Fri 09 Jun, 2017 12:23 am

There may need to be a recount in Hastings (Amber Rudd).

PorFavor · Post by **PorFavor** » Fri 09 Jun, 2017 12:24 am

Gavin Barwell and Jane Ellison in trouble.

tinyclanger2 · Post by **tinyclanger2** » Fri 09 Jun, 2017 12:26 am

Jon Stone ✔ @joncstone
Channel 4 has Yanis Varoufakis and David Mitchell together on their election night coverage

RogerOThornhill · Post by **RogerOThornhill** » Fri 09 Jun, 2017 12:28 am

Right, I have a hot date with the library in the morning and don't want to fall asleep.

Hope to wake up to good news.

Night all.