FlyTheNest

Mike Smithson ‏@MSmithsonPB 40 secs41 seconds ago

CON move to 6% lead in @LordAshcroft national poll
CON 36+2
LAB 30=
LD 9-1
UKIP 11-2
GN 7+3

Lord Ashcroft ‏@LordAshcroft 47s48 seconds ago
Ashcroft National Poll, 24-26 April: CON 36%, LAB 30%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 11%, GRN 7%. Full details on @ConHome, 4pm

Spacedone wrote:

Mike Smithson ‏@MSmithsonPB 40 secs41 seconds ago

CON move to 6% lead in @LordAshcroft national poll
CON 36+2
LAB 30=
LD 9-1
UKIP 11-2
GN 7+3

I really should have put a tenner accumulator on my poll prediction from this morning

pk1 wrote:Here's Ashcroft's constituency polling, released today

pk1 wrote:Ashcroft National Poll, 24-26 April: CON 36%, LAB 30%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 11%, GRN 7%.



AS IF !!!

rearofthestore wrote:

Spacedone wrote:

Mike Smithson ‏@MSmithsonPB 40 secs41 seconds ago

CON move to 6% lead in @LordAshcroft national poll
CON 36+2
LAB 30=
LD 9-1
UKIP 11-2
GN 7+3

I really should have put a tenner accumulator on my poll prediction from this morning

So looking at it
CON lead LAB age group 18-24 31% to 26%
CON lead LAB Scotland 23% to 14%
CON lead LAB North 35% to 34%
So really believable then

rearofthestore wrote:

rearofthestore wrote:

Spacedone wrote: I really should have put a tenner accumulator on my poll prediction from this morning

So looking at it
CON lead LAB age group 18-24 31% to 26%
CON lead LAB Scotland 23% to 14%
CON lead LAB North 35% to 34%
So really believable then

Should say Voting Intention based on weighted base of 558: CON 201 LAB 167
So total garbage again, how can he put his name to that?

yahyah wrote:Tubby, I see your tweet #name on some of Peter Juke's tweets about the letter.

How do we report the Tory to see if he has breached the lobbying law re charities?

Tubby Isaacs wrote:

yahyah wrote:Tubby, I see your tweet #name on some of Peter Juke's tweets about the letter.

How do we report the Tory to see if he has breached the lobbying law re charities?

I was the one who mentioned it first!
Though another chap mentioned the Charities Act which might be relevant.

Someone in Labour needs to report it and get it on the news.

rearofthestore wrote:

rearofthestore wrote:

Spacedone wrote: I really should have put a tenner accumulator on my poll prediction from this morning

So looking at it
CON lead LAB age group 18-24 31% to 26%
CON lead LAB Scotland 23% to 14%
CON lead LAB North 35% to 34%
So really believable then

Should say Voting Intention based on weighted base of 558: CON 201 LAB 167
So total garbage again, how can he put his name to that?

yahyah wrote:

Tubby Isaacs wrote:

yahyah wrote:Tubby, I see your tweet #name on some of Peter Juke's tweets about the letter.

How do we report the Tory to see if he has breached the lobbying law re charities?

I was the one who mentioned it first!
Though another chap mentioned the Charities Act which might be relevant.

Someone in Labour needs to report it and get it on the news.

Sorry, I don't really understand how Twitter works.
I've emailed Diverse Cymru to ask about what they are doing about it.

quote="yahyah"]I don't use [or understand] Facebook but have just been told Diverse Cymru have issued a statement about it on there.

Could someone be kind enough to cut and paste it, or provide an accessable link ?

yahyah wrote:I don't use [or understand] Facebook but have just been told Diverse Cymru have issued a statement about it on there.

Could someone be kind enough to cut and paste it, or provide an accessable link ?

Diverse Cymru
20 mins ·
Diverse Cymru is a registered charity and would like to state categorically that we are not affiliated with, allied to or supporters of any political party in compliance with the relevant Charity Commission laws, regulations and guidelines.
At Diverse Cymru, we aim to make a real difference to people’s lives by reducing inequality, increasing independence and raising awareness of equality issues.
To achieve these aims we engage with all elected officials and decision makers, regardless of their political party and affiliation, to work on policies that actively promote and secure equality across Wales.
Diverse Cymru’s name should not and should never appear on any list of political endorsements such as the one published today in the Telegraph of entrepreneurs of small businesses, neither of which terms apply to Diverse Cymru.
We believe we were included in error and have contacted the Conservative Party to remove our name from this list immediately, and are also working to ensure that Diverse Cymru is not similarly cited in future.
Diverse Cymru’s Board includes individuals with a wide-range of political opinions and has a strict policy on board member’s party affiliations not forming part of Board discussions or decisions.
Although our Chair, Keith Dewhurst, is an active member of the Conservative Party and is currently campaigning for the upcoming election these activities are independent to and separate from the work he undertakes on behalf of Diverse Cymru.
If you have any further questions or queries please contact Stewart Harding in our Communications Team on 029 2036 8888 ext. 4 or at stewart@diversecymru.org.uk.

John Jones
Today at 4:02pm
Please advise me why your Charity is apparently supporting the Conservative party .In doing so you are in breach of Legislation . A response would be appreciated .
11Like · Comment

Paul Sandham
Today at 1:57pm
Your chair Keith Dewhurst is using the name of your organisation as a "business" that supports the Conservatives in the upcoming election. This information is clearly visible on the Telegraph website. How is this possible? My understanding of legislation governing charities is that you are not able to promote a party at any time. You may promote or support policy changes etc but not promote a party. You are in breach of UK legislation governing charities. http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/politic ... tives.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

rearofthestore wrote:

citizenJA wrote:

Spacedone wrote: That says it all really. The largest the sample size (and therefore the smaller the margin of error) the more likely it is to favour Labour regardless of weighting.

The larger the number of people polled, the more likely the result will be Labour leading.
On 7 May 2015 the people will be asked to vote at their polling stations.
Please vote Labour.
Thank you.

I live in the extreme marginal of High Peak which may be decided by just a handful of votes. Mrs RotS and I have today voted so ours are already in the ballot box so to speak. First really marginal seat vote I have cast since Colne Valley in 1974.

yahyah wrote:

Some of the signees.

A new poll from ComRes and BBC Newsnight has found 55% believe the leader of the party with most MPs should become prime minister, while a third - or 34% - think it should be the leader who can form a partnership of the largest number of MPs including those from smaller parties.

According to the results, more people are concerned about Ukip supporting a government than any of the other smaller parties.

More than half - or 56% - say they are concerned about Ukip lending their support to one of the two main parties in order to govern, compared to 52% concerned about the SNP. (Guardian Election Blog)

rebeccariots2 wrote:

yahyah wrote:

Some of the signees.

Allow me to present you with the Toby Latimer Photoshopping Award - you've come best in the supremely tacky category. Many congratulations.

yahyah wrote:

rebeccariots2 wrote:

yahyah wrote:

Some of the signees.

Allow me to present you with the Toby Latimer Photoshopping Award - you've come best in the supremely tacky category. Many congratulations.

Thank you for the honour.
I thank my mother, my hamster, my marmite on toast, the person on Twitter who I pinched it from...Grant Shapps himself of course <wipes eyes> and all those people in my life who have enabled me to become what I am today.

'Who will protect, provide, shelter, build?' Why privatisation is the key to the election
For a century, left and right in Britain believed in universal access to education, health and housing. The Thatcher era changed everything. As the political parties battle it out, is there any alternative to the privatisation, breakup and foreign takeover of vital services?

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/201 ... e-election" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Dan Hodges ‏@DPJHodges 1h1 hour ago
This questioning of Miliband's legitimacy to govern is no longer silly it's dangerous. God knows, I'm no fan. But if he wins, he wins.

According to the evidence available, and it is certain that the whole edict has not been recovered, price"ceilings" for over 900 commodities, 130 different grades of labour, and a considerable number of freight rates, were fixed and severe punishment promised
to all "black market" operators who dared to buy or sell above the maximum.

rebeccariots2 wrote:I just heard the 'makes me pumped up' snippet of Cameron's 'passion' speech.

Please Radio 4 - you need to supply sick bags and a four minute warning before broadcasting something like that.

Euuuurrrrrghhh.

David Cameron told Channel 5 News he wants to return to Number 10 “very badly”.
"I want this very badly. It’s not for me. It’s for people and the jobs in this country. There are 2 million more people in work [since the coalition]. I want to build on that platform. I feel very fired up by it. I see there’s a risk of going right back to square one.
I am hungrier than five years ago."

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/liv ... a3d74a87b0" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

citizenJA wrote:I needed to read something good & James Meek's article just posted was excellent.

'Who will protect, provide, shelter, build?' Why privatisation is the key to the election
For a century, left and right in Britain believed in universal access to education, health and housing. The Thatcher era changed everything. As the political parties battle it out, is there any alternative to the privatisation, breakup and foreign takeover of vital services?

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/201 ... e-election" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Apologies to friends who don't read from the G these days. I haven't provided more than the link, author & title. It's all I can do at the moment.

Iain Martin retweeted
Gerry Hassan ‏@GerryHassan 4m4 minutes ago
TNS Scotland poll: SNP 32% lead over Labour:
SNP 54% (+2)
Lab 22% (-2)
Con 13% (=)
LDem 6% (=)
Green 2% (-1)
UKIP 2% (+1)
#GE2015

Kiran Stacey ‏@kiranstacey 8m8 minutes ago
Voters in our Glasgow East focus group think Margaret Curran will lose her seat. Most think Tories will win nationally, but don't care.