Friday 15th June 2018

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HindleA
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Friday 15th June 2018

Post by HindleA »

Morning

https://www.theguardian.com/society/201 ... tchdog-nao" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;


https://www.nao.org.uk/report/rolling-o ... al-credit/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
HindleA
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by HindleA »

Perhaps ye old system built up over decades wasn't as bad after all.UC more to administer,my word.This is only some benefits/versions of benefits,reminder,despite the replaces six benefits common misrepresentation.
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by HindleA »

Ed Miliband was in Chesterfield,apparently and didn't let me know.Then again I was in Doncaster last weekend changing trains and didn't tell him.
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tinyclanger2
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by tinyclanger2 »

Well then.
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tinyclanger2
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by tinyclanger2 »

(morning)
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PorFavor
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by PorFavor »

Good morfternoon.
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RogerOThornhill
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by RogerOThornhill »

Morning all.

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HindleA
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by HindleA »

Agreed.
PaulfromYorkshire
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by PaulfromYorkshire »

Lewisham East result

LAB: 50.2% (-17.7)
LDEM: 24.6% (+20.2)
CON: 14.4% (-8.6)
GRN: 3.6% (+1.9)
WEP: 2.3% (+2.3)
UKIP: 1.7% (+0.0)

+ other minor parties
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citizenJA
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by citizenJA »

Good-morning, everyone
gilsey
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by gilsey »

HindleA wrote:Morning

https://www.theguardian.com/society/201 ... tchdog-nao" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;


https://www.nao.org.uk/report/rolling-o ... al-credit/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Despite evidence that universal credit is failing to deliver on its core promises, the NAO concludes that it is too complex and would cost too much to halt the programme at this stage. “There is really no practical choice but to keep on keeping on with the rollout,” said Morse.
I might read a bit of the report to see how he arrives at that conclusion because I can't see it, myself. The old system is still there if 90% of claimants are still on it.
Morse of all people should understand the concept of a sunk cost.

"economic actors should not let sunk costs influence their decisions" wikipedia
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citizenJA
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by citizenJA »

@Eric_WLothian
Thank you for your response to my question about how long the meetings between the UK's monarch and PM are each week
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by PaulfromYorkshire »

Well done to Janet Daby in Lewisham.

So she is pro-EU

So she is a "moderate"

So she is not Momentum

And she won the seat with a reduced majority and a "resurgent" Lib Dem vote.

Myself, I would read nothing much into the result, but what do you think loads of folk on Twitter are saying?
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adam
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by adam »

PaulfromYorkshire wrote:Well done to Janet Daby in Lewisham.

So she is pro-EU

So she is a "moderate"

So she is not Momentum

And she won the seat with a reduced majority and a "resurgent" Lib Dem vote.

Myself, I would read nothing much into the result, but what do you think loads of folk on Twitter are saying?

I'm sure they're saying 'A LibDem revival is bad news for the Conservatives and could cost them scores of seats across the south and west of England'.
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by PaulfromYorkshire »

adam wrote:
PaulfromYorkshire wrote:Well done to Janet Daby in Lewisham.

So she is pro-EU

So she is a "moderate"

So she is not Momentum

And she won the seat with a reduced majority and a "resurgent" Lib Dem vote.

Myself, I would read nothing much into the result, but what do you think loads of folk on Twitter are saying?

I'm sure they're saying 'A LibDem revival is bad news for the Conservatives and could cost them scores of seats across the south and west of England'.
:lol:

No, try again....
HindleA
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by HindleA »

@Gilsey "agreement on principle",won't help.Fundamental error,now confined to tweaking utterations rather than ditching.
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by HindleA »

Charities etc speaking for/what people want incredibly frustrating.No price can be put on receiving bespoke support/recognition of particular situation.Pants to single payment.Keep it complex,not least for knowing why each.
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by PaulfromYorkshire »

Here you go Adam - finally someone as smart as you

Jon Stone
‏@joncstone
2m2 minutes ago
Retweeted Election Maps UK
There is a serious point behind this, which is that even a modest Lib Dem recovery quickly costs the Tories seats, if you play around with a swing calculator

Election Maps UK
@ElectionMapsUK
Here's a funny quirk from this by-election. If the Lab vote and Con vote went down proportionally in all seats as they did in Lewisham and the Libs picked up accordingly, Lab would lose only 8 seats to LD but actually pick up 35 from Con!
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citizenJA
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by citizenJA »

gilsey wrote:
HindleA wrote:Morning

https://www.theguardian.com/society/201 ... tchdog-nao" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

https://www.nao.org.uk/report/rolling-o ... al-credit/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Despite evidence that universal credit is failing to deliver on its core promises, the NAO concludes that it is too complex and would cost too much to halt the programme at this stage. “There is really no practical choice but to keep on keeping on with the rollout,” said Morse.
I might read a bit of the report to see how he arrives at that conclusion because I can't see it, myself. The old system is still there if 90% of claimants are still on it.
Morse of all people should understand the concept of a sunk cost.

"economic actors should not let sunk costs influence their decisions" wikipedia
You're right, shocking
The NAO's analysis of UC is unequivocal - more expensive, less effective, causing widespread hardship
"The programme has necessitated a number of changes which have become increasingly embedded across the Department. It would be so complex and costly to return to legacy benefits at this stage that the NAO believes there is no practical alternative but to continue with Universal Credit."

https://www.nao.org.uk/wp-content/uploa ... notice.pdf" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
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citizenJA
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by citizenJA »

HindleA wrote:Charities etc speaking for/what people want incredibly frustrating.No price can be put on receiving bespoke support/recognition of particular situation.Pants to single payment.Keep it complex,not least for knowing why each.
Charities have no legal statutory obligation towards anyone, they can all disappear tomorrow
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by Ameliya »

Good Afternoon all:)
AnatolyKasparov
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by AnatolyKasparov »

PaulfromYorkshire wrote:Well done to Janet Daby in Lewisham.

So she is pro-EU

So she is a "moderate"

So she is not Momentum

And she won the seat with a reduced majority and a "resurgent" Lib Dem vote.

Myself, I would read nothing much into the result, but what do you think loads of folk on Twitter are saying?
She is a "moderate" who twice voted for Corbyn as leader.
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Willow904
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by Willow904 »

HindleA wrote:@Gilsey "agreement on principle",won't help.Fundamental error,now confined to tweaking utterations rather than ditching.
What's most frustrating is that the last Labour government did look at the possibility of universal credit and rejected it, so they were agreeing "in principle" to what they already knew was virtually impossible to implement effectively and would therefore have a very high likelihood of inflicting a great deal of problems and difficulties on the poorest in society.

They have also failed to get across the hugely unfair cuts to many benefits to new claimants that Universal Credit is also harbouring. The fact that current recipients of various benefits get more money than new claimants is wrong on every level.
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citizenJA
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by citizenJA »

Ameliya wrote:Good Afternoon all:)
Howdy!
HindleA
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by HindleA »

They've hardly started with some benefits/situations.Not just a mess internally but external/in between as well.Many are on both/move between.We would have had a grand reduction of one for some of the time.
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by AnatolyKasparov »

Ameliya wrote:Good Afternoon all:)
A newbie!

Hi there.
"IS TONTY BLAIR BEHIND THIS???!!!!111???!!!"
HindleA
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by HindleA »

Ie excludes non means tested,CT etc.
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citizenJA
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by citizenJA »

'This is my boy's medicine': a mother's plea for UK to legalise cannabis oil
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/20 ... well-billy" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Yes, make it legal
Incredible story
PorFavor
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by PorFavor »

@Ameliya

Hello!
HindleA
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by HindleA »

That Osborne nearly abolished CA under its guise as a stand alone you would have thought would have alerted them
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by HindleA »

Roughly half not under UC.
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by HindleA »

Which would have made them more likely to need UC Thick as pig shit as someone once tweeted.
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by AnatolyKasparov »

Anyway, the FBPE delusionality about the Lewisham result is amusing me today.
"IS TONTY BLAIR BEHIND THIS???!!!!111???!!!"
frog222
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by frog222 »

AnatolyKasparov wrote:Anyway, the FBPE delusionality about the Lewisham result is amusing me today.
I like "delusionality" ! Are the FBPE born-again Corbynistas ?

"" She is a "moderate" who twice voted for Corbyn as leader.""

I'm quite moderate too, and might well have voted for JC too, given the Blairism of the others .

Is Ameliya from Saint Petersburg ?

WatO interviewee right now giving the government position on UC the works , at length, killer- stuff .

Dame Louise Casey .
PorFavor
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by PorFavor »

frog222 wrote:

Is Ameliya from Saint Petersburg ?


[youtube]KpMP4pxSEmU[/youtube]
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by AnatolyKasparov »

frog222 wrote:
AnatolyKasparov wrote:Anyway, the FBPE delusionality about the Lewisham result is amusing me today.
I like "delusionality" ! Are the FBPE born-again Corbynistas ?
Many of them are *actually* like what Corbynistas are supposed to be (but actually aren't, for the most part)
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Willow904
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by Willow904 »

frog222 wrote:
AnatolyKasparov wrote:Anyway, the FBPE delusionality about the Lewisham result is amusing me today.
I like "delusionality" ! Are the FBPE born-again Corbynistas ?

"" She is a "moderate" who twice voted for Corbyn as leader.""

I'm quite moderate too, and might well have voted for JC too, given the Blairism of the others .

Is Ameliya from Saint Petersburg ?

WatO interviewee right now giving the government position on UC the works , at length, killer- stuff .

Dame Louise Casey .
I'm going to stick my neck out here and suggest there might be more than one Ameliya in the world.

We haven't had a newbie in a while. Some different views would be refreshing.
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Willow904
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by Willow904 »

AnatolyKasparov wrote:
frog222 wrote:
AnatolyKasparov wrote:Anyway, the FBPE delusionality about the Lewisham result is amusing me today.
I like "delusionality" ! Are the FBPE born-again Corbynistas ?
Many of them are *actually* like what Corbynistas are supposed to be (but actually aren't, for the most part)
The danger of using a tag like that is that a very few malicious trolls can easily infiltrate and ratchet up the group think and bubble effect.
I have also seen some speculation that Corbyn supporting social media has been targeted by Russian fake news bots, purely because it's such a big and far reaching network.
I think we have to assume we are all being exposed to a lot of false social media these days, however careful we are about trying to sift out the propaganda.
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tinyclanger2
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by tinyclanger2 »

https://www.independent.co.uk/news/scie ... 00486.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Stephen Hawking memorial to see professor's voice beamed into a black hole
'It is a message of peace and hope, about unity and the need for us to live together in harmony on this planet'
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PaulfromYorkshire
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by PaulfromYorkshire »

Brexit: Antoinette Sandbach on DExEU and the cabinet
Some members of the cabinet are “undermining” Theresa May as the PM tries to “bring the party together” over Brexit, said Conservative MP Antoinette Sandbach.
She told Daily Politics presenter Jo Coburn the prime minister's efforts to draw up a compromise amendment they could all sign up to had been “hijacked at the last minute”.
The Eddisbury MP added that it appeared the Department for Exiting the EU (DExEU) had "got involved" and an amendment had been introduced that would reduce Parliament to a “school debating chamber”.
[BBC]
AnatolyKasparov
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by AnatolyKasparov »

At least it seems her tendency in the party has noticed. But, as ever, what will they actually *do* about it?
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frog222
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by frog222 »

For all you stamp-collectors --

Image

From Crace’s week —

https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/201 ... p-approval" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

“” To help save the Labour leader from the embarrassment of appearing in front of just a handful of diehards, that would enable them to order as many tickets as they wanted for free. To check if it worked I duly went on the Labour Live site and ordered 18 tickets in the name of Tony Blair, c/o Cell Block 8, HMP Belmarsh. Within seconds I was sent an email with 18 tickets. After I tweeted to let people know of Tony’s good fortune – who needs a Qing vase when you can take your extended family to the Jez fest for free? – various Unite members tried it for themselves. One tweeted back to say that Leon Trotsky would also be coming with 59 of his closest friends. It could be a sell-out after all. “”
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citizenJA
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by citizenJA »

early evening, everyone
goodnight
love,
cJA
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RogerOThornhill
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by RogerOThornhill »

Christopher Chope.

:toss:

And MPs wonder why they're not held in high regard...
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PaulfromYorkshire
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by PaulfromYorkshire »

:roll:
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frog222
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by frog222 »

I suppose everyone's watching the footie, or The Bridge ?
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tinyclanger2
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by tinyclanger2 »

Sniffer 3
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HindleA
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by HindleA »

Listening to football whilst cursing at crossword,having "solvers block" where you lose the ability to "read" the clue appropriate to solving.
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by gilsey »

frog222 wrote:I suppose everyone's watching the footie, or The Bridge ?
Will be watching The Bridge later, so no spoilers, ta.
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Re: Friday 15th June 2018

Post by AnatolyKasparov »

Away from the Lewisham excitement (?) two local council byelections this week:

Doncaster - Labour hold, with approaching half the vote, in a ward where they won all 3 seats in the all-out elections of 2017 and 2015 (when the present boundaries were created) but with other parties competitive. Three years ago that included UKIP who took second, their disappearance last year helped boost the regionalist Yorkshire Party whose candidate took the runners up spot with a quarter of the vote. They stayed second now, but their share was little changed whilst Labour improved markedly; third place was taken by the Greens who also held their ground compared with a year ago, enabling them to overtake the Tories whose share halved to 11%. LibDems (who had some strength in the predecessor wards here once upon a time) and finally an Independent with just 2% occupied the also-ran places.

Southwark - another deferred poll from last month saw a close contest between Labour and the LibDems narrowly settled in the latter's favour, though a relatively close popular vote breakdown of 44% versus 41% proved enough to (just) get them all three places in this redrawn division created by boundary changes. The two predecessor wards to this (covering a somewhat bigger area) had 6 councillors which split 5Lib/1Lab at the last elections in 2014 after a long period of total LibDem dominance (this is the old patch of Simon Hughes and even after his departure LibDem support has not collapsed as it has in some other similar environs) and this sort of result did not come as a complete surprise. Tories narrowly squeezed out the Greens for 3rd in the battle of the also-rans, though the Greens putting up just 2 candidates helped their top placed runner come ahead of the final Tory.

Next week is a busy one, with 11 contests in all - including the last two delayed elections from May.
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