Monday 19th November 2018
Posted: Mon 19 Nov, 2018 7:04 am
Morning all.
https://www.theguardian.com/politics/20 ... -forecastsJo Johnson backs bid to force Treasury to reveal no-Brexit forecasts
Ex-minister expected to make first speech from backbenches to support amendment to the finance bill
Jo Johnson, the Conservative MP who resigned as a minister to back a second Brexit referendum, will on Monday throw his weight behind a bid to force the government to publish economic forecasts that compare its deal with remaining in the European Union. (Guardian)
Boris Johnson's unused £320,000 second hand water cannon sold - for £11,025
Three water cannon bought and refurbished for more than £320,000 while Boris Johnson was London Mayor have been sold for just £11,025. As the Press Association reports, the current mayor Sadiq Khan announced today that “we have managed to finally get rid of them” as it was revealed they had been sold to a firm that will dismantle them and export the parts. The machines were bought by Johnson from Germany in 2014 - crucially before their use had been licensed on the UK mainland. The then home secretary, Theresa May, banned their use - rendering them worthless. (Politics Live, Guardian)
It seems to have escaped their notice that this is the Withdrawal Agreement, not the future trade deal.PorFavor wrote:Apparently, the ERG is now aiming for "Super Canada".
“This country has voted,” says Hill definitively, although she says it didn’t know what it was voting for. “You’ll destroy all faith in voting in the future. We have to go through with it, whether we made the right decision or not.” Just as oddly, given her concern about the economic implications of Brexit, she’d prefer a no-deal option to what’s on the table.
After talking at length to Raab’s “neglected silent mainstream majority”, I began to appreciate why they might be neglected. What is most notable are the glaring contradictions: May is not up to the job, but she should stick it out. Brexit has been a disaster – and we should get out of Europe as soon as possible. And my personal favourite, that being in the EU has meant, as Hill claims, that the younger generation, including her children, can’t get on the property ladder, followed by the complaint that “property is dropping like a stone round here”.
That argument carries a lot of weight, perhaps indicating that we should wait until public sentiment "evolves". The sting in the tail is what terms we would be offered if, in the future, the voting public decides that being out of the EU was not such a good idea after all. That's where the voice of a future Labour Government would come in very handy - and I feel that it will be needed sooner rather than later.AnatolyKasparov wrote:The point is, the argument that "if we don't go through with Brexit it will destroy faith in voting" is a powerful one for many (including lots of remain supporters)
Which is why some of us have said from the start that efforts should be focused on getting the softest possible exit from the EU, not trying to reverse/override the referendum result.
Brexit might still not happen, but if so that will be as a result of events largely out of our control. And the Tories need to be made to own what would be a total humiliation for them.
UKIP is claiming the CBI approved; they didn't approvecitizenJA wrote:Sounds like May's speech given to Confederation of British Industry (CBI) about her withdrawal agreement didn't reassure them
(To be fair, it sounds like the headline overdoes it and they are just unclear about what's going on rather than queuing up to vote no).Spanish Foreign Minister Josep Borrell said his government will need more clarity on the future status of Gibraltar before it’s ready to support the Brexit agreement.
I think if you ignore some of the ERG's rhetoric about their size and so on but just think about the numbers who are out in public, according to this bbc story from this morning 25 tory MPs have said they have written. On that basis it looks very very unlikely that it could get through the commons - you might reasonably add to that people who have recently resigned but not publicly filed letters (which is another five I think) plus those who resigned last time but haven't publicly filed letters (another 3?) plus a couple from the other side of the party who are saying they can't support this (2?) - it reaches the point quickly where even if half of them voted loyally and the DUP stayed onside she could still lose.AnatolyKasparov wrote:At least one LibDem MP looks likely to vote with May. It does depend if there is a major Tory rebellion or not, but tbh I find it pretty hard to imagine one *not* happening.
with moving boxes?PaulfromYorkshire wrote:IDS, Peter Lilley and Owen Paterson have just gone into Number 10
[BBC Laura K]
[Telegraph Stephen Swinford]Trouble for PM with Iain Duncan Smith, Owen Paterson, Lord Trimble in No 10 for meeting with PM.
They will spell out how they think Irish border issue can resolved with treaty. Feels inevitable she will reject.
Could we see letter of no confidence announced on steps of No 10?
Irritable vowel syndrome?HindleA wrote:Have got into a strange habit of adding vowels for some reeason.
PaulfromYorkshire wrote:Irritable vowel syndrome?HindleA wrote:Have got into a strange habit of adding vowels for some reeason.
Heather Stewart
The government is preparing to accept an amendment to the finance bill, tabled by Labour’s Chuka Umunna and the Conservative Anna Soubry, rather than face defeat tonight.
Signed by 11 Conservatives - enough to wipe out Theresa May’s wafer-thin majority - it would oblige the government to publish economic forecasts comparing the impact of its Brexit deal with remaining in the EU. (Politics Live, Guardian)
Ha!HindleA wrote:PfY getting far tooo good.
Stuff like this really annoys me. Corbyn supported triggering article 50 and to May's hasty premature timetable so it's hypocritical to complain about the natural consequences of that, which includes the necessity of a transition period. We were never going to be able to negotiate a whole new relationship in two years. Even with a much clearer goal than we are getting from May there would still be uncertainty until a new relationship is signed sealed and delivered. This is just part of the uncertainty that is Brexit, of course it's going to be disruptive and longwinded, but the only way to avoid that is not to Brexit. If getting it right needs nearer 4 years than 2 then allowing the possibility of an extension is in our interests.16:52
Corbyn says government’s Brexit agreement ‘locks in uncertainty’ for four years or more
" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;Adam Payne
@adampayne26
The ERG isn’t a happy family. One member tells me the letter-wavers look like bullies. “This is all going to fizzle out and Moggy and Baker will get singed.” They added that they could back the deal: “If Cameron offered what May is offering, I would have snapped his hand off.”
3:19 PM · Nov 19, 2018 from London, England · Twitter for iPhone
Robert Peston
Verified account
@Peston
21m21 minutes ago
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The DUP’s 10 MPs will be abstaining on pretty much every finance bill vote tonight, I understand. This is to put the government on warning that the party is close to ripping up the “confidence and supply” agreement that allows @theresa_may to govern. This is a serious blow to....the PM’s authority. And is all down to the DUP’s pessimism that the PM will amend in any significant way the EU Withdrawal Agreement that it sees as driving a regulatory wedge between Northern Ireland and Great Britain. And if Tory MPs see their industrial action as......increasing the risk of an imminent general election, they will launch that long-planned and delayed coup against her pronto.
The Welsh town of Llanelli – which voted 56.7 per cent to leave the EU in the referendum – has been left reeling after a major manufacturer upped sticks due to Brexit.
Global firm Schaeffler announced this week that it is to close its plant in Llanelli due to uncertainty over Britain’s departure from the European Union.
The closure was described as the “tremor that will lead to the Brexit earthquake” in the Welsh Assembly, with Juergen Ziegler, the company’s regional CEO, saying that the “need to plan for various complex scenarios” due to Brexit had played a part in their decision to leave Wales.
It's bloody freezing herecitizenJA wrote:It's cold here now
West Midlands
Well, some "Brexiters" hadn't been entirely truthful, apparently.Willow904 wrote:" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;Adam Payne
@adampayne26
The ERG isn’t a happy family. One member tells me the letter-wavers look like bullies. “This is all going to fizzle out and Moggy and Baker will get singed.” They added that they could back the deal: “If Cameron offered what May is offering, I would have snapped his hand off.”
3:19 PM · Nov 19, 2018 from London, England · Twitter for iPhone
I don't know if this is representative or not but I must admit I did struggle to understand Rees-Mogg's latest move. You'd have thought he'd only have made a big, public deal sending in his letter if he knew it would kick the whole shebang off, yet all he's ended up with is a damp squib. Has he been manouvered into a mistake?