FlyTheNest

Robin Brant @robindbrant · 40m 40 minutes ago
BBC reports that 3 lab mps are suing @ukip mep after she said they 'knew many of the details of what was happening' in rotherham child abuse

Robin Brant @robindbrant · 40m 40 minutes ago
rotherham MPs Sarah Champion, John Healey and Kevin Barron are to sue UKIP MEP Jane Collins for libel and slander after conf speech claims

citizenJA wrote:

ohsocynical wrote:

citizenJA wrote:So it is that bad.

People need to know dropping off the electoral register will lead to their not getting back on it - they may kiss their right to vote goodbye.
http://www.adviceguide.org.uk/england/ ... urn false;

I got a headache attempting to read through all that. Jesus. Life is so damned hard sometimes.

Remembering how many people wandered in sans polling card, [although you don't need it] and generally didn't have much of a clue how it all works, I fear that there will be a lot of people thinking they're still eligible to vote when they've failed to register.

Then the way is clear; I'll have to ask & explain to everyone who'll listen in my area whether or not they know they're registered to vote. Tactful, discrete, yet effective.

Robin Brant @robindbrant · 22m 22 minutes ago
This was the key part of @JaneCollinsMEP speech to conf as published

Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB · 4m 4 minutes ago
If you were about to bet on LAB following Populus 5% lead poll HOLD ONTO YOUR MONEY. @LordAshcroft has blues 6% ahead

Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB · 2m 2 minutes ago
Fieldwork for both @LordAshcroft & Populus polls took place during exactly the same time period - Jan 9-11th.

The first Ashcroft National Poll of 2015 has produced an unexpected result. The Conservatives lead Labour by six points, by 34 per cent to 28 per cent, with the Liberal Democrats unchanged on 8 per cent, UKIP down three points at 16 per cent, the Greens up three points at 8 per cent and the SNP down one point at 4 per cent.

rebeccariots2 wrote:

Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB · 4m 4 minutes ago
If you were about to bet on LAB following Populus 5% lead poll HOLD ONTO YOUR MONEY. @LordAshcroft has blues 6% ahead

Mike Smithson @MSmithsonPB · 2m 2 minutes ago
Fieldwork for both @LordAshcroft & Populus polls took place during exactly the same time period - Jan 9-11th.

Bet we know which of these polls is going to spark most attention.

StephenDolan wrote:28%? less than in 2010?

ErnstRemarx wrote:

citizenJA wrote:

ohsocynical wrote: Remembering how many people wandered in sans polling card, [although you don't need it] and generally didn't have much of a clue how it all works, I fear that there will be a lot of people thinking they're still eligible to vote when they've failed to register.

Then the way is clear; I'll have to ask & explain to everyone who'll listen in my area whether or not they know they're registered to vote. Tactful, discrete, yet effective.

Ask your local council what they're doing to ensure that everyone's signed up to vote. I'm sure they'll be happy to tell you. Write to your local paper, and explain in a letter (for publication) what the issue is, and how people may be disenfranchised by the change in procedure - if you wish to stick the boot into the Tories while you're at it, so much the better...

rebeccariots2 wrote:

StephenDolan wrote:28%? less than in 2010?

Does that mean you don't trust the Ashcroft result by any chance?

George Eaton @georgeeaton · 4m 4 minutes ago
Tory MPs so far obeying Lynton Crosby's edict not to tweet about positive polls (as undermines "only one poll counts" message).

StephenDolan wrote:

rebeccariots2 wrote:

StephenDolan wrote:28%? less than in 2010?

Does that mean you don't trust the Ashcroft result by any chance?

Id be interested to hear the Devils advocate argument as to why Miliband 2015 would end up with less than Brown 2010.

If I'm reading it correctly, Table 3 says that the poll results are based upon a VI of 539 (515 when weighted). Con 175, Lab 145.

StephenDolan wrote:

rebeccariots2 wrote:

StephenDolan wrote:28%? less than in 2010?

Does that mean you don't trust the Ashcroft result by any chance?

Id be interested to hear the Devils advocate argument as to why Miliband 2015 would end up with less than Brown 2010.

If I'm reading it correctly, Table 3 says that the poll results are based upon a VI of 539 (515 when weighted). Con 175, Lab 145.

yahyah wrote:'Ex-UKIP man and marine Ian Couch in pig's head insult to Cambridge mosque'
http://www.cambridge-news.co.uk/Ex-UKIP ... z3Ocyg1nv7" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

His excuse to the court, that he was 'tired & emotional'.

Speaking in court, Couch confessed he had been drinking heavily when he sent the email and that he was angry and emotional after watching the news and an online video of four women being killed by militants.

He also argued it was a coincidence the head was found in his fridge upon his arrest, claiming he had got it as a treat for his dogs despite it being the first time he had ever bought a head rather than just ears or trotters.

yahyah wrote:'Ex-UKIP man and marine Ian Couch in pig's head insult to Cambridge mosque'
http://www.cambridge-news.co.uk/Ex-UKIP ... z3Ocyg1nv7" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

His excuse to the court, that he was 'tired & emotional'.

HAL
I suspect Ashcroft has c***ed up: table 2 (all respondents) has Con 22% Lab 20%, with “definitely vote that way” sub-sample Con 33% Lab 35% (i.e., a likelihood-to-vote filter would favour Lab).
So how do you get from that to the headline figure? It looks impossible to me.

rebeccariots2 wrote:ComRes ‏@ComResPolls 9m9 minutes ago
A 1st for our @ITVNews election issues tracker: NHS overtakes immigration as top voter concern http://www.itv.com/news/2015-01-12/itv- ... or-voters/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false; …

Managing the NHS: 50% (+11)
Controlling immigration: 46% (-3)
Keeping down the cost of everyday living - including managing costs of food, energy and travel: 25% (-3)
Promoting economic growth: 20% (no change)
Reducing inequality: Making sure the benefits of economic growth are felt by all: 20% (no change)
Reducing the budget deficit: 19% (-2)
Making the welfare system fairer:19% (no change)
Redefining Britain's relationship with the EU: 19% (-2)

rebeccariots2 wrote:For those who understand these polling things far better than I - comment from UK Polling Report:

HAL
I suspect Ashcroft has c***ed up: table 2 (all respondents) has Con 22% Lab 20%, with “definitely vote that way” sub-sample Con 33% Lab 35% (i.e., a likelihood-to-vote filter would favour Lab).
So how do you get from that to the headline figure? It looks impossible to me.

http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/blog/archi ... 3#comments

Ed Miliband and Doncaster North: a correction (and apology)

ephemerid wrote:There is a very worrying post on the DPAC site today about a speech given by Kate Green last October to SERTUC.

It's here - dpac.uk.net/2015/01/alarm-bells-are-ringing-answers-please-kate-green/

The article below the video clip explains the concern better than I can - but I would also point out that the ideas she is putting forward assumes that the Work programme will not only continue but all ESA claimants are likely to be on it.

I am not happy. I hope she responds to the requests DPAC have made to answer their questions.
What she seems to be suggesting is as I feared - and it's all about work, work, work, work and the usual conflation of disability with illness.

yahyah wrote:Have had several silent phone calls today, when checked the phone number it is, oddly, 12345678.

Anyone else had that ?

Toby Latimer wrote:

yahyah wrote:Have had several silent phone calls today, when checked the phone number it is, oddly, 12345678.

Anyone else had that ?

Fraud from the Netherlands according to this site yahyah, http://whocallsme.com/Phone-Number.aspx/012345678/5" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Toby Latimer wrote:

yahyah wrote:Have had several silent phone calls today, when checked the phone number it is, oddly, 12345678.

Anyone else had that ?

Fraud from the Netherlands according to this site yahyah, http://whocallsme.com/Phone-Number.aspx/012345678/5" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

yahyah wrote:

Toby Latimer wrote:

yahyah wrote:Have had several silent phone calls today, when checked the phone number it is, oddly, 12345678.

Anyone else had that ?

Fraud from the Netherlands according to this site yahyah, http://whocallsme.com/Phone-Number.aspx/012345678/5" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Thanks Toby. Not all of the calls I've had today were silent, one was someone laughing.
Most unpleasant.

yahyah wrote:Have had several silent phone calls today, when checked the phone number it is, oddly, 12345678.

Anyone else had that ?

yahyah wrote:Thanks TE. This was my landline. I'm very low tech for phones, have an ancient mobile pay as you go for car journey emergency use only.

HindleA wrote:Regarding the Ashcroft polls

http://may2015.com/datablast/why-the-to ... nts-ahead/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

ohsocynical wrote:

yahyah wrote:Thanks TE. This was my landline. I'm very low tech for phones, have an ancient mobile pay as you go for car journey emergency use only.

I once read a very good suggestion for those sort of calls. Get a police whistle and blow it down the receiver. Hard and long.

rebeccariots2 wrote:

A deliberate threat to the govt – U-turn on the £21,000 student loan repayment threshold I will organise mass protest
http://blog.moneysavingexpert.com/2015/ ... s-protest/
Let me be plain – I am writing this blog to put down a marker to the Government. If it decides to renege on its promise to uprate the £21,000 student loan repayment threshold, it will have mis-sold university education to many students, personally betrayed me and I will do all I can to organise protest.

It is thankfully only a mooted idea so far, yet I’m worried that it is quickly gaining traction. So I want to bash out a quick explanation…..

TechnicalEphemera wrote:

ohsocynical wrote:

yahyah wrote:Thanks TE. This was my landline. I'm very low tech for phones, have an ancient mobile pay as you go for car journey emergency use only.

I once read a very good suggestion for those sort of calls. Get a police whistle and blow it down the receiver. Hard and long.

I once read a spec for a piece of line test that warned if you mis configured it then it would place a hazardous voltage on the line. That is a feature I want.

Eric_WLothian wrote:

TechnicalEphemera wrote:

ohsocynical wrote: I once read a very good suggestion for those sort of calls. Get a police whistle and blow it down the receiver. Hard and long.

I once read a spec for a piece of line test that warned if you mis configured it then it would place a hazardous voltage on the line. That is a feature I want.

I get these calls all the time! CLI is useless, as the numbers are usually spoofed or not recognised. The silent calls are caused by auto-dialling equipment deliberately calling more numbers than the call centre staff can handle - if you pick up the phone and all the staff are busy, you have a silent call. Blocking all unidentified numbers could prevent legitimate calls getting through.

It's currently the subject of a 'Which?' (Consumers Association) campaign:
http://www.which.co.uk/campaigns/nuisan ... -and-Texts

Stop all the clocks. Cut off the telephone. Prevent the dog from barking with a juicy bone.

Monday 12 January 2015 will go down in confectionary history as a bad day. A hurtful day.

The day when it was revealed that Cadbury’s Creme Eggs have changed forever.

http://www.theguardian.com/business/201 ... mentpage=1

citizenJA wrote:

Stop all the clocks. Cut off the telephone. Prevent the dog from barking with a juicy bone.

Monday 12 January 2015 will go down in confectionary history as a bad day. A hurtful day.

The day when it was revealed that Cadbury’s Creme Eggs have changed forever.

http://www.theguardian.com/business/201 ... mentpage=1

God damn it all to hell.

Will the horrors never end????!!!

TechnicalEphemera wrote:
Let's just say it has ministerial attention.

citizenJA wrote:

Stop all the clocks. Cut off the telephone. Prevent the dog from barking with a juicy bone.

Monday 12 January 2015 will go down in confectionary history as a bad day. A hurtful day.

The day when it was revealed that Cadbury’s Creme Eggs have changed forever.

http://www.theguardian.com/business/201 ... mentpage=1

God damn it all to hell.

Will the horrors never end????!!!

ohsocynical wrote:The problem seems to be that in the US some chocolate doesn't actually contain any chocolate. We are being Americanised. Bloody Yanks.

ohsocynical wrote:The problem seems to be that in the US some chocolate doesn't actually contain any chocolate. We are being Americanised. Bloody Yanks.