Thursday 7th May

mikems · Post by **mikems** » Fri 08 May, 2015 12:43 am

Swindon North had a tory majority of 7000 last time, hardly an 'important marginal' in a neck and neck election.

Post by **refitman** » Fri 08 May, 2015 12:44 am

Swindon North

Con hold with a 22.6% majority, 64% turnout
candidates votes %
Justin Tomlinson 26,295 50.3% Cons
Mark Dempsey 14,509 27.8% Labour
James Faulkner 8,011 15.3% Ukip
Poppy Hebden-Leeder 1,723 3.3% Green
Janet Ellard 1,704 3.3% Lib Dem

Spacedone · Post by **Spacedone** » Fri 08 May, 2015 12:44 am

mikems wrote:Swindon North had a tory majority of 7000 last time, hardly an 'important marginal' in a neck and neck election.

It required a 7% swing so was never really likely to go Labour based on any polling I've seen in last year.

howsillyofme1 · Post by **howsillyofme1** » Fri 08 May, 2015 12:44 am

mikems wrote:Swindon North had a tory majority of 7000 last time, hardly an 'important marginal' in a neck and neck election.

Indeed - it is South that is more marginal and elec calculus still had it as Tory....numbers from Swindon North may indicated where the votes are going though

ohsocynical · Post by **ohsocynical** » Fri 08 May, 2015 12:44 am

Spacedone wrote:Look at the BBC at the moment, everyone laughing and smiling after that Tory hold.

I'm watching ITV...Much more how BBC used to report on the elections. A massive drop in viewing figures might be the only thing to make them pull their socks up...

mbc1955 · Post by **mbc1955** » Fri 08 May, 2015 12:44 am

I'm taking some crumbs of comfort from the increasing numbers of signals that Nigel Farage is well and truly fucked in South Thanet.

fedup59 · Post by **fedup59** » Fri 08 May, 2015 12:45 am

Every time I try to post I get kicked so short and sweet (tinfoil hat time) I feel manipulated by the polls so they appear to make no sense - is this just so all the headlines are about Tory poll victory as opposed to what the votes actually might be? Or am I clutching?

pk1 · Post by **pk1** » Fri 08 May, 2015 12:45 am

4th lost deposit for LDs

ITV pointing out a swing of 4% Lab to Con in Swindon North

howsillyofme1 · Post by **howsillyofme1** » Fri 08 May, 2015 12:46 am

Swindon North has a swing against Labour....think that shows it is all over

Terrible result

Post by **refitman** » Fri 08 May, 2015 12:47 am

pk1 wrote:4th lost deposit for LDs

14% drop in Swindon.

tinyclanger2 · Post by **tinyclanger2** » Fri 08 May, 2015 12:47 am

some seats being announced much earlier than anticipated (swindons were expected at 3.00)

ohsocynical · Post by **ohsocynical** » Fri 08 May, 2015 12:48 am

Sources say Farage has lost Thanet.

SpinningHugo · Post by **SpinningHugo** » Fri 08 May, 2015 12:48 am

howsillyofme1 wrote:Swindon North has a swing against Labour....think that shows it is all over

Terrible result

Indeed.

It is so bad that it makes a Con majority a remote possibility.

Forget it people. Tonight is over.

Postmortem tomorrow.

rebeccariots2 · Post by **rebeccariots2** » Fri 08 May, 2015 12:48 am

Peter Hain ‏@PeterHain 11m11 minutes ago
Early indications from my old Neath constituency suggest UKIP coming second to @welshlabour supplanting Plaid

Very scary.

SpinningHugo · Post by **SpinningHugo** » Fri 08 May, 2015 12:49 am

If Galloway and Farage lose I'll be cheered a bit.

Not much though.

tinyclanger2 · Post by **tinyclanger2** » Fri 08 May, 2015 12:50 am

Nationalism has turned the country (UK) to shit. Well done.

TechnicalEphemera · Post by **TechnicalEphemera** » Fri 08 May, 2015 12:53 am

SpinningHugo wrote:
howsillyofme1 wrote:Swindon North has a swing against Labour....think that shows it is all over

Terrible result

Indeed.

It is so bad that it makes a Con majority a remote possibility.

Forget it people. Tonight is over.

Postmortem tomorrow.

Makes a Con majority quite likely that result. How on earth are all the polls wrong.

howsillyofme1 · Post by **howsillyofme1** » Fri 08 May, 2015 12:53 am

Nothing Labour could have done really

Country is a pile of shite - good luck for the next 5 years guys. Think you will need it

pk1 · Post by **pk1** » Fri 08 May, 2015 12:54 am

@tianran: In Swindon N 4.3% swing from Lab to Con, 115th EdMili target . Working class vote went to Ukip, Tories pick up professionals?

LadyCentauria · Post by **LadyCentauria** » Fri 08 May, 2015 12:55 am

Putney: Cons hold

pk1 · Post by **pk1** » Fri 08 May, 2015 12:55 am

Cons hold Putney. Justine Greening seat.

Swing Con to Lab 0.4%

tinyclanger2 · Post by **tinyclanger2** » Fri 08 May, 2015 12:56 am

Working class vote to UKIP. Nice.

Post by **refitman** » Fri 08 May, 2015 12:56 am

Cons hold Putney. 0.4% swing to Labour.

WelshIan · Post by **WelshIan** » Fri 08 May, 2015 12:56 am

tinyclanger2 wrote:Nationalism has turned the country (UK) to shit. Well done.

Not just nationalism, the right wing media have made sure people are not informed about how bad this government is, and has suppressed any alternative view.

I thought people were better than this.

howsillyofme1 · Post by **howsillyofme1** » Fri 08 May, 2015 12:57 am

WelshIan wrote:
tinyclanger2 wrote:Nationalism has turned the country (UK) to shit. Well done.
Not just nationalism, the right wing media have made sure people are not informed about how bad this government is, and has suppressed any alternative view.

I thought people were better than this.

They aren't

LadyCentauria · Post by **LadyCentauria** » Fri 08 May, 2015 12:57 am

Putney cons vote down a bit, Lab up a bit more but 54% Con 30% Lab

Spacedone · Post by **Spacedone** » Fri 08 May, 2015 12:58 am

WelshIan wrote:
tinyclanger2 wrote:Nationalism has turned the country (UK) to shit. Well done.
Not just nationalism, the right wing media have made sure people are not informed about how bad this government is, and has suppressed any alternative view.

I thought people were better than this.

Looks like they're going to have to learn the very hard way.

SpinningHugo · Post by **SpinningHugo** » Fri 08 May, 2015 1:01 am

howsillyofme1 wrote:Nothing Labour could have done really

I do not agree.

AngryAsWell · Post by **AngryAsWell** » Fri 08 May, 2015 1:02 am

david bartlett ‏@davidbartlett1 · 13 mins13 minutes ago
No sign of Esther McVey and Wirral West too close to call http://www.liverpoolecho.co.uk/news/liv ... al-9207827 … …

Fucking hell

PorFavor · Post by **PorFavor** » Fri 08 May, 2015 1:03 am

Goodnight, everyone.

pk1 · Post by **pk1** » Fri 08 May, 2015 1:03 am

Truss on ITV, Gove on Sky, Vine, Neil, Robinson & Dimbleby on BBC.

Fucking hell.

LadyCentauria · Post by **LadyCentauria** » Fri 08 May, 2015 1:05 am

Goodnight, PF xxx

pk1 · Post by **pk1** » Fri 08 May, 2015 1:06 am

Goodnight PF, here's hoping thing look a little less bleak by daylight

WelshIan · Post by **WelshIan** » Fri 08 May, 2015 1:07 am

Spacedone wrote:
WelshIan wrote:
tinyclanger2 wrote:Nationalism has turned the country (UK) to shit. Well done.
Not just nationalism, the right wing media have made sure people are not informed about how bad this government is, and has suppressed any alternative view.

I thought people were better than this.
Looks like they're going to have to learn the very hard way.

And the rest of us suffer along too while they learn.

Spacedone · Post by **Spacedone** » Fri 08 May, 2015 1:07 am

Ok I've changed my mind about staying up. I've got to get up for work in 5 hours and I don't feel like being depressed and exhausted at the same time. Hopefully things won't go the way they seem to be going but if I have to wake up to another 5 years of these c***s I'm going to need to be rested.

Spacedone · Post by **Spacedone** » Fri 08 May, 2015 1:08 am

WelshIan wrote:
Spacedone wrote:
WelshIan wrote: Not just nationalism, the right wing media have made sure people are not informed about how bad this government is, and has suppressed any alternative view.

I thought people were better than this.
Looks like they're going to have to learn the very hard way.
And the rest of us suffer along too while they learn.

It'd certainly be a result that could be accurately described as a tragedy.

howsillyofme1 · Post by **howsillyofme1** » Fri 08 May, 2015 1:09 am

So, in summary

Nats taken Scotland
Lib Dems completely dead as a party
Tories in ascendency and with a mandate to destroy our country

Labour cannot naval gaze.....this will be a weak Government governed by hubris - we have to come out fighting and hopefully the referendum on Europe will destroy them from the inside

ohsocynical · Post by **ohsocynical** » Fri 08 May, 2015 1:09 am

Night PF

I'm off too...See you all tomorrow...

AngryAsWell · Post by **AngryAsWell** » Fri 08 May, 2015 1:10 am

Deborah Orr retweeted

Cathy Newman ‏@cathynewman · 3 mins3 minutes ago
Lib Dem source tells me @vincecable seat in trouble

Post by **refitman** » Fri 08 May, 2015 1:12 am

Newcastle upon Tyne East

Lab hold with a 31.9% majority, 53% turnout
candidates votes %
Nick Brown 19,378 49.4% Labour
Duncan Crute 6,884 17.6% Cons
David Robinson-Young 4,910 12.5% Ukip
Wendy Taylor 4,332 11.0% Lib Dem
Andrew Gray 3,426 8.7% Green
Paul Phillips 170 0.4% Indy
Mollie Stevenson 122 0.3% Indy

Post by **refitman** » Fri 08 May, 2015 1:12 am

Labour hold Tooting.

LadyCentauria · Post by **LadyCentauria** » Fri 08 May, 2015 1:12 am

Tooting: Labour hold (Sadiq Khan) (very slightly increased his majority) Cons second, Greens 3rd

pk1 · Post by **pk1** » Fri 08 May, 2015 1:12 am

Newcastle East, Lab hold

Tooting (Sadiq Khan), Lab hold

Post by **refitman** » Fri 08 May, 2015 1:13 am

Night to all those leaving us now.

pk1 · Post by **pk1** » Fri 08 May, 2015 1:13 am

Goodnight Spacedone, goodnight Ohso

Sleep well.

AngryAsWell · Post by **AngryAsWell** » Fri 08 May, 2015 1:15 am

BBC Radio Leeds
‏@BBCLeeds Bradford Council have reported Respect's George Galloway to the police for allegedly breaking election law [via @dinakarim] #ge2015

LadyCentauria · Post by **LadyCentauria** » Fri 08 May, 2015 1:15 am

G'night Spacedone and Ohso. Sleep well xxx

LadyCentauria · Post by **LadyCentauria** » Fri 08 May, 2015 1:16 am

AngryAsWell wrote:BBC Radio Leeds
‏@BBCLeeds Bradford Council have reported Respect's George Galloway to the police for allegedly breaking election law [via @dinakarim] #ge2015

Cripes! What the heck's he alleged to have done?

AngryAsWell · Post by **AngryAsWell** » Fri 08 May, 2015 1:18 am

BBC Scotland NewsVerified account
‏@BBCScotlandNews Vote fraud investigations are taking place at three #GE2015 counts in Scotland http://bbc.in/1dR1I25

Tish · Post by **Tish** » Fri 08 May, 2015 1:20 am

Oh god this is horrible.

It looks like the LibDems have totally collapsed and their vote has scattered to the wind. I'm baffled as to why anyone who voted LibDem last time would cross to the Tories now, but looking at the Tooting result that seems to be what has happened. Add UKIP eating into the Labour vote and the rise and rise of the SNP and its like a perfect storm sending us straight to hell.