Thursday 4th June 2015
Forum rules
Welcome to FTN. New posters are welcome to join the conversation. You can follow us on Twitter @FlythenestHaven You are responsible for the content you post. This is a public forum. Treat it as if you are speaking in a crowded room. Site admin and Moderators are volunteers who will respond as quickly as they are able to when made aware of any complaints. Please do not post copyrighted material without the original authors permission.
Welcome to FTN. New posters are welcome to join the conversation. You can follow us on Twitter @FlythenestHaven You are responsible for the content you post. This is a public forum. Treat it as if you are speaking in a crowded room. Site admin and Moderators are volunteers who will respond as quickly as they are able to when made aware of any complaints. Please do not post copyrighted material without the original authors permission.
Thursday 4th June 2015
Morning all.
*checks for missing d's*
*checks for missing d's*
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Morning
With all the talk of potential Labour deputy leaders, it occurs to me that I have no idea who the deputy leader of the Tory party is. John Prescott combined the role with deputy PM and Harman has played a similar high profile role of taking full responsibility in the absence of the leader but the Tories don't seem to have a similarly high profile deputy leader/ PM role. I suppose I expected someone to be officially annointed as a PM 'reserve' so to speak, even if not specifically a deputy leader/PM. In other words, if Cameron were indisposed, who runs the country? Labour party structures make this clear but Cameron seems to be keeping his deputy rather quiet. Do we assume Osborne would take the reins?
With all the talk of potential Labour deputy leaders, it occurs to me that I have no idea who the deputy leader of the Tory party is. John Prescott combined the role with deputy PM and Harman has played a similar high profile role of taking full responsibility in the absence of the leader but the Tories don't seem to have a similarly high profile deputy leader/ PM role. I suppose I expected someone to be officially annointed as a PM 'reserve' so to speak, even if not specifically a deputy leader/PM. In other words, if Cameron were indisposed, who runs the country? Labour party structures make this clear but Cameron seems to be keeping his deputy rather quiet. Do we assume Osborne would take the reins?
"Fall seven times, get up eight" - Japanese proverb
-
- Minister of State
- Posts: 419
- Joined: Wed 27 Aug, 2014 6:13 am
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
He'll have outsourced the job to Serco.Willow904 wrote:Morning
With all the talk of potential Labour deputy leaders, it occurs to me that I have no idea who the deputy leader of the Tory party is. John Prescott combined the role with deputy PM and Harman has played a similar high profile role of taking full responsibility in the absence of the leader but the Tories don't seem to have a similarly high profile deputy leader/ PM role. I suppose I expected someone to be officially annointed as a PM 'reserve' so to speak, even if not specifically a deputy leader/PM. In other words, if Cameron were indisposed, who runs the country? Labour party structures make this clear but Cameron seems to be keeping his deputy rather quiet. Do we assume Osborne would take the reins?
Morning folks, a bit sunny here.
Edited to defeat spillchicken
-
- Speaker of the House
- Posts: 2023
- Joined: Tue 26 Aug, 2014 12:24 pm
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
According to the Conservative party Wikipedia entry which contains a list of all PMs and DPMs it is George Osbourne.Willow904 wrote:Morning
With all the talk of potential Labour deputy leaders, it occurs to me that I have no idea who the deputy leader of the Tory party is. John Prescott combined the role with deputy PM and Harman has played a similar high profile role of taking full responsibility in the absence of the leader but the Tories don't seem to have a similarly high profile deputy leader/ PM role. I suppose I expected someone to be officially annointed as a PM 'reserve' so to speak, even if not specifically a deputy leader/PM. In other words, if Cameron were indisposed, who runs the country? Labour party structures make this clear but Cameron seems to be keeping his deputy rather quiet. Do we assume Osborne would take the reins?
Edited to remove a statement I couldn't confirm.
Last edited by seeingclearly on Thu 04 Jun, 2015 8:52 am, edited 1 time in total.
-
- Prime Minister
- Posts: 7535
- Joined: Tue 26 Aug, 2014 8:29 am
- Location: Being rained on in west Wales
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Morning.
Absolutely glorious here, hope same for everyone else.
Just popped in to say welcome back to Giselle - have missed you a lot !
Can understand why you have resigned, submitting a reason why & intending to rejoin Labour, but won't it mean you wouldn't have a vote in the leadership ?
That may not be a bad thing, it seems a difficult, uninspiring choice so far.
Corbyn at least adds some spice to the mix, and good to see an older head standing.
But will people view him as too old, would be 71 in 2015 ?
Not being ageist, just realistic. Ming Campbell got thrashed for looking old.
See you later, have two tons of gravel to wheelbarrow round the back of the house and spread.
Absolutely glorious here, hope same for everyone else.
Just popped in to say welcome back to Giselle - have missed you a lot !
Can understand why you have resigned, submitting a reason why & intending to rejoin Labour, but won't it mean you wouldn't have a vote in the leadership ?
That may not be a bad thing, it seems a difficult, uninspiring choice so far.
Corbyn at least adds some spice to the mix, and good to see an older head standing.
But will people view him as too old, would be 71 in 2015 ?
Not being ageist, just realistic. Ming Campbell got thrashed for looking old.
See you later, have two tons of gravel to wheelbarrow round the back of the house and spread.
Last edited by yahyah on Thu 04 Jun, 2015 8:45 am, edited 1 time in total.
- rebeccariots2
- Prime Minister
- Posts: 14038
- Joined: Mon 25 Aug, 2014 8:20 pm
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Morning all.
Leadership contender Liz Kendall is the fresh start Labour needs, say three Welsh heartland MPs
http://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales ... sh-9383428" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Working on the wild side.
- rebeccariots2
- Prime Minister
- Posts: 14038
- Joined: Mon 25 Aug, 2014 8:20 pm
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Welcome back giselle (from yesterday).
Great to see you here. Please don't disappear again for a while.
Great to see you here. Please don't disappear again for a while.
Working on the wild side.
- rebeccariots2
- Prime Minister
- Posts: 14038
- Joined: Mon 25 Aug, 2014 8:20 pm
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Happy gravel spreading yahyah. That's a job we are also very well skilled in!
Did you lose many plants or trees in the winds?
Did you lose many plants or trees in the winds?
Working on the wild side.
-
- Prime Minister
- Posts: 7535
- Joined: Tue 26 Aug, 2014 8:29 am
- Location: Being rained on in west Wales
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Morning Rebecca,
Thanks for the link...just wondering if you any views to share on Stephen Doughty, Nick Smith and Chris Evans and how seriously or otherwise we should take their opinion.
Thanks for the link...just wondering if you any views to share on Stephen Doughty, Nick Smith and Chris Evans and how seriously or otherwise we should take their opinion.
- rebeccariots2
- Prime Minister
- Posts: 14038
- Joined: Mon 25 Aug, 2014 8:20 pm
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
BBC Politics @BBCPolitics 1h1 hour ago
Plaid Cymru leader Leanne Wood applies to stand for two seats in next year's Assembly election, her party confirms http://bbc.in/1KFKEqb" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Working on the wild side.
-
- Prime Minister
- Posts: 7535
- Joined: Tue 26 Aug, 2014 8:29 am
- Location: Being rained on in west Wales
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
rebeccariots2 wrote:Happy gravel spreading yahyah. That's a job we are also very well skilled in!
Did you lose many plants or trees in the winds?
Thanks for asking. We were amazingly lucky and no lasting damage. Thankfully the huge orange poppies came out yesterday so didn't get blasted.
Hope you were ok.
- RogerOThornhill
- Prime Minister
- Posts: 11127
- Joined: Mon 25 Aug, 2014 10:18 pm
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
The message seems to be - Liz Kendall - the Labourite who won't upset the right since she'll do most of what they want...only in a nicer way.rebeccariots2 wrote:Morning all.
Leadership contender Liz Kendall is the fresh start Labour needs, say three Welsh heartland MPs
http://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales ... sh-9383428" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Is that really all Labour has now?
Maybe 30 years of individualism, spite and nastiness have paid off and we really are all Thatcherites now.
If I'm not here, then I'll be in the library. Or the other library.
- frightful_oik
- Whip
- Posts: 954
- Joined: Tue 26 Aug, 2014 12:45 am
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Yes, the only considerations seem to be whether they're photogenic and business-friendly. I'd rather start with their values and work from there. The Labour party has to stand for something and then, if necessary, wait for the people to come to them; not keep shifting their values to chase votes.RogerOThornhill wrote:The message seems to be - Liz Kendall - the Labourite who won't upset the right since she'll do most of what they want...only in a nicer way.rebeccariots2 wrote:Morning all.
Leadership contender Liz Kendall is the fresh start Labour needs, say three Welsh heartland MPs
http://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales ... sh-9383428" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Is that really all Labour has now?
Maybe 30 years of individualism, spite and nastiness have paid off and we really are all Thatcherites now.
Shake your chains to earth like dew
Which in sleep had fallen on you-
Ye are many - they are few."
Which in sleep had fallen on you-
Ye are many - they are few."
- rebeccariots2
- Prime Minister
- Posts: 14038
- Joined: Mon 25 Aug, 2014 8:20 pm
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Emergency surveillance law faces legal challenge by MPs
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-33000160" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
... The Data Retention and Investigatory Powers Act was fast-tracked through Parliament in three days last July.
It allows Britain's intelligence agencies to gather people's phone and internet communications data.
But former Conservative minister David Davis and Labour's Tom Watson will argue that the legislation is incompatible with human rights...
Working on the wild side.
- rebeccariots2
- Prime Minister
- Posts: 14038
- Joined: Mon 25 Aug, 2014 8:20 pm
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Depressing, isn't it. It seems virtually all someone needs to say is they will listen to Carwyn Jones to get the support of some. It's going to take an awful lot more than that to start fixing what is broken. It's the 'here's a plaster, slap it on and give me your vote' approach that feels very wrong. I'd be more willing to support someone who said they didn't yet know what the solutions are - and that it wasn't a quick fix situation. But then - that's me.RogerOThornhill wrote:The message seems to be - Liz Kendall - the Labourite who won't upset the right since she'll do most of what they want...only in a nicer way.rebeccariots2 wrote:Morning all.
Leadership contender Liz Kendall is the fresh start Labour needs, say three Welsh heartland MPs
http://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales ... sh-9383428" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Is that really all Labour has now?
Maybe 30 years of individualism, spite and nastiness have paid off and we really are all Thatcherites now.
Working on the wild side.
- rebeccariots2
- Prime Minister
- Posts: 14038
- Joined: Mon 25 Aug, 2014 8:20 pm
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Couple of trees down. One big one on our track that unnervingly came down just after we'd driven out in the morning. We came back to find the farmer had stacked it up on the side .... phew.yahyah wrote:rebeccariots2 wrote:Happy gravel spreading yahyah. That's a job we are also very well skilled in!
Did you lose many plants or trees in the winds?
Thanks for asking. We were amazingly lucky and no lasting damage. Thankfully the huge orange poppies came out yesterday so didn't get blasted.
Hope you were ok.
Working on the wild side.
- rebeccariots2
- Prime Minister
- Posts: 14038
- Joined: Mon 25 Aug, 2014 8:20 pm
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
I don't know very much about them I'm afraid. I just had a quick look to see which constituencies they represent - Blaenau Gwent, Cardiff South and Penarth, Islwyn. So yes, I guess those are 'heartlands'. When I've finished work for the day I will look and see what the voting percentages were in them.yahyah wrote:Morning Rebecca,
Thanks for the link...just wondering if you any views to share on Stephen Doughty, Nick Smith and Chris Evans and how seriously or otherwise we should take their opinion.
Working on the wild side.
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
By Patrick Wintour:
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/201 ... t-election
Still awaiting his "Ed Miliband, My part in his downfall."
Whilst googling to try and see if his middle name, has an 'e' in it (for anagrams)
found link to an old blog:
"The Incredibly Talentless Patrick Wintour."
https://www.craigmurray.org.uk/archives ... ncredibly/
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/201 ... t-election
Still awaiting his "Ed Miliband, My part in his downfall."
Whilst googling to try and see if his middle name, has an 'e' in it (for anagrams)
found link to an old blog:
"The Incredibly Talentless Patrick Wintour."
https://www.craigmurray.org.uk/archives ... ncredibly/
-
- Speaker of the House
- Posts: 2023
- Joined: Tue 26 Aug, 2014 12:24 pm
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Giselle, it was lovely to come onto FTN late last night and find your posts, you have been missed. Welcome back. I hope some of our other missing will be inspired to return too, all are missed, and diversity is needed and wanted.
Yahyah, your poppies sound wonderful, the gravel beyond my imaginative capacity, though if your day is as gorgeous as it is here you have inspiration on your side.
My FB page has been clogged up this morning with dozens of pictures of Corbyn, complete with many favourable comments on the lines of 'at last someone from the left'. I'm being cautious about them as we know online sentiments don't translate into political reality. Nevertheless it was better than seeing the almost universal rejection of Kendall and earlier Umunna, and the lack of anything good to say about anyone except Burnham, who seems to come in for an equal amount of opprobrium as praise. Personally I'd love to see a return to more seasoned politicians, since Blair there's been a tendency for younger and younger people to make it into the higher ranks of all parties, I'm not sure that's been a good thing.
Yahyah, your poppies sound wonderful, the gravel beyond my imaginative capacity, though if your day is as gorgeous as it is here you have inspiration on your side.
My FB page has been clogged up this morning with dozens of pictures of Corbyn, complete with many favourable comments on the lines of 'at last someone from the left'. I'm being cautious about them as we know online sentiments don't translate into political reality. Nevertheless it was better than seeing the almost universal rejection of Kendall and earlier Umunna, and the lack of anything good to say about anyone except Burnham, who seems to come in for an equal amount of opprobrium as praise. Personally I'd love to see a return to more seasoned politicians, since Blair there's been a tendency for younger and younger people to make it into the higher ranks of all parties, I'm not sure that's been a good thing.
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Good morfternoon.
This - in case anyone is interested in taking part:
@giselle97
Hello, again! (Not that you appear in the cast list, as I type this.)
Edited
"p" for "P"
This - in case anyone is interested in taking part:
09:45
I’d be interested to know what readers think about the candidates for the Labour leadership. I have seen people discussing this BTL for a few days now, but I would like to hear more views because I’m thinking of posting a round-up of reader opinion at some point in the future (if it’s doable and worthwhile).
I’m particularly keen to hear from people who are party members and planning to vote, but others are welcome to contribute too. (Politics Blog, Guardian)
@giselle97
Hello, again! (Not that you appear in the cast list, as I type this.)
Edited
"p" for "P"
-
- Committee Chair
- Posts: 303
- Joined: Sat 30 Aug, 2014 7:09 pm
- Location: Peterborough via Inverness
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Trouble at mill. Anyone care to place a bet on the chances of Parliamentarians (why is that capitalised?) and civil society getting a say? http://www.commondreams.org/news/2015/0 ... rade-deals
Morning everyone, and it's a lovely sunny day here ..... but I've got to sit in waiting for a landlord's inspection (un-timed). Darn it. He could have come yesterday when it was wet.
10:35 whoopee. The door bell rang and the chap's here so ...
Morning everyone, and it's a lovely sunny day here ..... but I've got to sit in waiting for a landlord's inspection (un-timed). Darn it. He could have come yesterday when it was wet.
10:35 whoopee. The door bell rang and the chap's here so ...
Happy to be called a Labour Party Tribalist as I don't consider it as an insult in the grand scheme of things!
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
@giselle97
Ah - there you are! Hello, again. Again.
Ah - there you are! Hello, again. Again.
-
- Committee Chair
- Posts: 303
- Joined: Sat 30 Aug, 2014 7:09 pm
- Location: Peterborough via Inverness
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Hello PorFavor and thank you to all for welcome back!
Happy to be called a Labour Party Tribalist as I don't consider it as an insult in the grand scheme of things!
-
- Committee Chair
- Posts: 303
- Joined: Sat 30 Aug, 2014 7:09 pm
- Location: Peterborough via Inverness
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
From last night's post, thank you @thatchersorphan for this as I would have been oblivious to the fact it was programmed. I'm going to write to ask why it's been pulled. Don't expect an answer of merit but will report back!
thatchersorphan wrote:The NHS is at the centre of a `perfect storm'. Caught between huge increases in demand and the prospect of a projected £30billion deficit, it faces a desperate fight for survival. Pulled at the last minute - replace by allegations of doping in athletics.
Status now is
This episode is not scheduled for broadcast.
http://www.radiotimes.com/episode/dm8gf ... fect-storm" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Happy to be called a Labour Party Tribalist as I don't consider it as an insult in the grand scheme of things!
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Is there any way of calculating, on the basis of this new methodology, what the polls would have been pre-election?14m ago10:45
ComRes unveils new polling method to better assess likelihood to vote
We have not heard much from the polling companies since the election, but ComRes has been in touch this morning, with the results of the first poll it has conducted since polling day.
And here are the poll results.
Conservatives: 41%
Labour: 29%
Ukip: 10%
Lib Dems: 8%
Greens: 5% (Politics Blog, Guardian)
Has Labour's rating plummeted, and the Conservatives' rocketed since Ed Miliband resigned - or would the figures have still been fairly similar to those being bandied about back in April\May even with the new methodology?
-
- Prime Minister
- Posts: 15709
- Joined: Mon 25 Aug, 2014 9:26 pm
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
But I think its as simple as that - she is simply a "fresh start" and the small trifling matter of what she actually stands for is unimportantrebeccariots2 wrote:Morning all.
Leadership contender Liz Kendall is the fresh start Labour needs, say three Welsh heartland MPs
http://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales ... sh-9383428" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
(no coincidence she has used that as her campaign slogan)
If she can get enough people to think like that, it is her one chance of winning.
Still don't expect it to work, though - have a hunch that the hustings might not be that good for her. We shall see.......
"IS TONTY BLAIR BEHIND THIS???!!!!111???!!!"
- frightful_oik
- Whip
- Posts: 954
- Joined: Tue 26 Aug, 2014 12:45 am
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Wouldn't have thought so. Although we do know what the poll ratings were by the election result. Honeymoon for Tories will last until end of this year I expect unless the budget is a real shocker.PorFavor wrote:Is there any way of calculating, on the basis of this new methodology, what the polls would have been pre-election?14m ago10:45
ComRes unveils new polling method to better assess likelihood to vote
We have not heard much from the polling companies since the election, but ComRes has been in touch this morning, with the results of the first poll it has conducted since polling day.
And here are the poll results.
Conservatives: 41%
Labour: 29%
Ukip: 10%
Lib Dems: 8%
Greens: 5% (Politics Blog, Guardian)
Has Labour's rating plummeted, and the Conservatives' rocketed since Ed Miliband resigned - or would the figures have still been fairly similar to those being bandied about back in April\May even with the new methodology?
Shake your chains to earth like dew
Which in sleep had fallen on you-
Ye are many - they are few."
Which in sleep had fallen on you-
Ye are many - they are few."
-
- Committee Chair
- Posts: 303
- Joined: Sat 30 Aug, 2014 7:09 pm
- Location: Peterborough via Inverness
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Don't do your back in Yahyah! I'm at MATS Physio at 14:45 today for my second exquisite agony session on the table!yahyah wrote:Morning.
Absolutely glorious here, hope same for everyone else.
Just popped in to say welcome back to Giselle - have missed you a lot !
Can understand why you have resigned, submitting a reason why & intending to rejoin Labour, but won't it mean you wouldn't have a vote in the leadership ?
That may not be a bad thing, it seems a difficult, uninspiring choice so far.
Corbyn at least adds some spice to the mix, and good to see an older head standing.
But will people view him as too old, would be 71 in 2015 ?
Not being ageist, just realistic. Ming Campbell got thrashed for looking old.
See you later, have two tons of gravel to wheelbarrow round the back of the house and spread.
There's currently no choice of leader up there for me right now and it would be infuriating to end up not having a say. It looks as though it's Andy Burnham, Liz Kendall and Yvette Cooper. I don't think any of those will win Labour an election. Unlike many, I actually quite like YC on the basis that she's been to Peterborough no end of times to meet members and came over as intelligent, sensible and, oddly enough, caring. But .... baggage.
ANECDOTAL ALERT!
My friend Eric does volunteering and a part time job at the Museum, Longthorpe Tower, Key Theatre, Flag Fen, etc., for Vivacity in Peterborough. He was the key holder for the night that Tom Watson came up. Eric (a Tory) said that TW "was an arrogant, ill-mannered, pumped up bully" when giving Eric orders as to where chairs should be placed for his audience. He said there's a way to speak to people and he doesn't know how to do it! Eric doesn't tell lies or exaggerate so I figure if there were votes for the Deputy Leader, I hadn't better vote for him! TW blocked me on Twitter ages ago so .....
Here's the time-table to enable ability to vote.
http://researchbriefings.files.parliame ... N03938.pdfThe National Executive Committee met on 13 May 2015 and determined the timetable for the leadership and deputy leadership elections:
Friday 15 May: Election period opens
Monday 8 June: PLP nomination hustings for Leader
Tuesday 9 June: PLP nomination ustings for Deputy Leader
Tuesday 9 June: PLP nominations open
22 noon Monday 15 June: PLP nominations (Leader) close
12 noon Wednesday 17 June: PLP nominations (Deputy Leader) close
Wednesday 17 June: Hustings period opens
12 noon Friday 31 July: Supporting nominations close
12 noon Wednesday 12 August: Last date to join as member, affiliated supporter, or registered supporter
Friday 14 August: Ballot mailing despatched
12 noon Thursday 10 September: Ballot closes
Saturday 12 September: Special conference to announce result
Happy to be called a Labour Party Tribalist as I don't consider it as an insult in the grand scheme of things!
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Good morning, everyone.
Outstanding post here late last night including a comment from below the line elsewhere.
Thank you, giselle97, for posting link.
If anyone hasn't read it, it's well worth checking out.
http://flythenest.org/viewtopic.php?p=55984#p55984" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Outstanding post here late last night including a comment from below the line elsewhere.
Thank you, giselle97, for posting link.
If anyone hasn't read it, it's well worth checking out.
http://flythenest.org/viewtopic.php?p=55984#p55984" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
-
- Prime Minister
- Posts: 15709
- Joined: Mon 25 Aug, 2014 9:26 pm
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Tories up 3 on the GE result, Labour down 2 - as with the YouGov poll earlier this week, I expect the unweighted figures will give a rather smaller Tory lead.
(adjusting according to what happened last month, especially re turnout, has its own problems - we shouldn't assume future GE's will follow the same pattern as the most recent one)
(adjusting according to what happened last month, especially re turnout, has its own problems - we shouldn't assume future GE's will follow the same pattern as the most recent one)
"IS TONTY BLAIR BEHIND THIS???!!!!111???!!!"
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
PorFavor wrote:Is there any way of calculating, on the basis of this new methodology, what the polls would have been pre-election?14m ago10:45
ComRes unveils new polling method to better assess likelihood to vote
We have not heard much from the polling companies since the election, but ComRes has been in touch this morning, with the results of the first poll it has conducted since polling day.
And here are the poll results.
Conservatives: 41%
Labour: 29%
Ukip: 10%
Lib Dems: 8%
Greens: 5% (Politics Blog, Guardian)
Has Labour's rating plummeted, and the Conservatives' rocketed since Ed Miliband resigned - or would the figures have still been fairly similar to those being bandied about back in April\May even with the new methodology?
http://www.comres.co.uk/statement-comre ... out-model/We have since gone back to our campaign polls to measure the impact of
this model. If we were using this method for GE2015, and made no other
adjustments to our methodology, our final poll would have had a 5 point
Conservative lead over Labour. We have also applied this model to our first
post-election voting intention poll. Were we simply using the same approach
as before the election, our poll would give the Conservatives an 8 point lead.
Using the new ComRes Voter Turnout Model the poll produces a 12 point
Conservative lead.
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
@tinybgoat
Thank you.
Thank you.
- rebeccariots2
- Prime Minister
- Posts: 14038
- Joined: Mon 25 Aug, 2014 8:20 pm
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Afternoon peeps. So he did say it.
Not even the knowledge that it was aimed at Anna Soubry makes that acceptable.Anne Begg retweeted
Caroline CriadoPerez @CCriadoPerez 1h1 hour ago
Holy shit. Alex Salmond, ladies and gentlemen. (Via @tori_tweets)
Working on the wild side.
- rebeccariots2
- Prime Minister
- Posts: 14038
- Joined: Mon 25 Aug, 2014 8:20 pm
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Re the polls.
I've not wanted to take a look at Mike Smithson's tweets or site, or UK polling report or any other polling connected media since May 8th. I don't know when - or if - I will recover from this aversion.
I've not wanted to take a look at Mike Smithson's tweets or site, or UK polling report or any other polling connected media since May 8th. I don't know when - or if - I will recover from this aversion.
Working on the wild side.
-
- Committee Chair
- Posts: 303
- Joined: Sat 30 Aug, 2014 7:09 pm
- Location: Peterborough via Inverness
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Warning - if you can curb your anger, you're way ahead of me.
Editorial 4th June 2015: Rough transcript of Jeremy Hunt's speech to NHS Confederation conference
http://www.healthpolicyinsight.com/?q=node/1598
Editorial 4th June 2015: Rough transcript of Jeremy Hunt's speech to NHS Confederation conference
http://www.healthpolicyinsight.com/?q=node/1598
Happy to be called a Labour Party Tribalist as I don't consider it as an insult in the grand scheme of things!
-
- Committee Chair
- Posts: 303
- Joined: Sat 30 Aug, 2014 7:09 pm
- Location: Peterborough via Inverness
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Happy to be called a Labour Party Tribalist as I don't consider it as an insult in the grand scheme of things!
-
- Committee Chair
- Posts: 303
- Joined: Sat 30 Aug, 2014 7:09 pm
- Location: Peterborough via Inverness
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Deprive them of their importance RR2 - I am with you!rebeccariots2 wrote:Re the polls.
I've not wanted to take a look at Mike Smithson's tweets or site, or UK polling report or any other polling connected media since May 8th. I don't know when - or if - I will recover from this aversion.
Happy to be called a Labour Party Tribalist as I don't consider it as an insult in the grand scheme of things!
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Osborne is misleading over cuts needed to balance books, says IFS
Thinktank says though numbers government quote are not inaccurate, spending squeeze of £1 in every £100 spent ‘seriously underestimates size of challenge’
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/201 ... ng-squeeze" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Thinktank says though numbers government quote are not inaccurate, spending squeeze of £1 in every £100 spent ‘seriously underestimates size of challenge’
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/201 ... ng-squeeze" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
George Osborne to announce 5% budget cuts to non-protected government departments - Politics live
Rolling coverage of all the day’s political developments as they happen
No 10 to write to Ipsa demanding rethink on MPs’ 10% pay rise
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/blo ... e#comments" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Rolling coverage of all the day’s political developments as they happen
No 10 to write to Ipsa demanding rethink on MPs’ 10% pay rise
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/blo ... e#comments" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
-
- Committee Chair
- Posts: 303
- Joined: Sat 30 Aug, 2014 7:09 pm
- Location: Peterborough via Inverness
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
(ITV doesn't seem to know where to put the ").Shadow care minister Liz Kendall said: "This Government has failed to address the desperate and growing crisis in older people's care. "300,000 fewer older people are now getting the crucial help they need than when David Cameron came to power - meaning more older people ending up in hospital and delayed discharges at a record high. "Cuts of this level would put even more pressure on the NHS, and have a devastating impact on service that are essential to thousands of vulnerable people and their families."
http://www.itv.com/news/2015-06-04/star ... care-cuts/
Happy to be called a Labour Party Tribalist as I don't consider it as an insult in the grand scheme of things!
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
I've posted a link to my response to Wintour's bullshit below.The undoing of Ed Miliband – and how Labour lost the election
It was Labour’s most stunning defeat since 1983. This exclusive account, based on unique access to the party leader’s closest aides, tells the inside story of what went wrong
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/201 ... t-election" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
http://www.theguardian.com/politics/201 ... t-53263978" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
-
- Prime Minister
- Posts: 7535
- Joined: Tue 26 Aug, 2014 8:29 am
- Location: Being rained on in west Wales
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Just been reading about the Coulson aquittal over lunch.
This is from James Doleman:
'...and there is embarrassment amongst the Scottish legal community about the botched prosecution. Suspicions have been raised that the Crown was more interested in avoiding an appeal against Sheridan's conviction that they were in securing one against Andy Coulson....''
&
''Coincidently, the night before Coulson was acquitted the Scottish Crown office announced it was dropping charges against the only two former News of the World staff north of the border who had been charged in relation to allegations of illegal activities at the Scottish News of the World.
Unless something surprising happens the official investigation into phone-hacking in Scotland is as good as over.''
https://www.byline.com/project/8/article/70" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Would loved to have been a fly on the wall during all those Murdoch/Salmond meetings.
This is from James Doleman:
'...and there is embarrassment amongst the Scottish legal community about the botched prosecution. Suspicions have been raised that the Crown was more interested in avoiding an appeal against Sheridan's conviction that they were in securing one against Andy Coulson....''
&
''Coincidently, the night before Coulson was acquitted the Scottish Crown office announced it was dropping charges against the only two former News of the World staff north of the border who had been charged in relation to allegations of illegal activities at the Scottish News of the World.
Unless something surprising happens the official investigation into phone-hacking in Scotland is as good as over.''
https://www.byline.com/project/8/article/70" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Would loved to have been a fly on the wall during all those Murdoch/Salmond meetings.
- rebeccariots2
- Prime Minister
- Posts: 14038
- Joined: Mon 25 Aug, 2014 8:20 pm
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Sophy Ridge @SophyRidgeSky 1m1 minute ago
George Osborne announces the Government is to sell its remaining 30% stake in Royal Mail, worth around £1.5bn
Sophy Ridge @SophyRidgeSky 1m1 minute ago
George Osborne: Holding £1.5bn of Royal Mail shares is "not a sensible use of taxpayers money"
Working on the wild side.
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Good, don't.rebeccariots2 wrote:Re the polls.
I've not wanted to take a look at Mike Smithson's tweets or site, or UK polling report or any other polling connected media since May 8th. I don't know when - or if - I will recover from this aversion.
When something doesn't work, it's broken & no longer a useful instrument.
I don't trust known liars, faulty equipment or Tories, ever.
-
- Secretary of State
- Posts: 1209
- Joined: Tue 26 Aug, 2014 11:49 am
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Yet the cybernats spring to his defence (no surprise there).rebeccariots2 wrote:Afternoon peeps. So he did say it.Not even the knowledge that it was aimed at Anna Soubry makes that acceptable.Anne Begg retweeted
Caroline CriadoPerez @CCriadoPerez 1h1 hour ago
Holy shit. Alex Salmond, ladies and gentlemen. (Via @tori_tweets)
http://www.scotsman.com/news/politics/t ... -1-3792650
-
- Prime Minister
- Posts: 15709
- Joined: Mon 25 Aug, 2014 9:26 pm
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
Leslie's interview in the latest Observer was almost unspeakably bad. Strange to think that he had (by general agreement) a good GE campaign, too........giselle97 wrote:https://twitter.com/THEEDGELondon/statu ... 2323129344
"IS TONTY BLAIR BEHIND THIS???!!!!111???!!!"
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
It is unfortunate the beautiful day outside is currently marred for everyone in my area by an incessant sound of headache-inducing, high-powered, drilling tools squealing like nothing nature ever intended life to hear. It's been going on for hours.rebeccariots2 wrote:Sophy Ridge @SophyRidgeSky 1m1 minute ago
George Osborne announces the Government is to sell its remaining 30% stake in Royal Mail, worth around £1.5bn
Sophy Ridge @SophyRidgeSky 1m1 minute ago
George Osborne: Holding £1.5bn of Royal Mail shares is "not a sensible use of taxpayers money"
I've read Wintour's made-for-television, crap screenplay based loosely on the May 2015 GE result for Labour, profoundly uninspiring comments below the line full of more lies & headlines indicating catastrophic, shit Tory government plans for offloading most regular people & the country to some dystopia marketplace.
Good luck people, we gonna need it.
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
The people in power right now are laughing their asses off at the expense of decent people.yahyah wrote:Just been reading about the Coulson aquittal over lunch.
This is from James Doleman:
'...and there is embarrassment amongst the Scottish legal community about the botched prosecution. Suspicions have been raised that the Crown was more interested in avoiding an appeal against Sheridan's conviction that they were in securing one against Andy Coulson....''
&
''Coincidently, the night before Coulson was acquitted the Scottish Crown office announced it was dropping charges against the only two former News of the World staff north of the border who had been charged in relation to allegations of illegal activities at the Scottish News of the World.
Unless something surprising happens the official investigation into phone-hacking in Scotland is as good as over.''
https://www.byline.com/project/8/article/70" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Would loved to have been a fly on the wall during all those Murdoch/Salmond meetings.
This is corrupt.
- rebeccariots2
- Prime Minister
- Posts: 14038
- Joined: Mon 25 Aug, 2014 8:20 pm
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
What does surprise me is how many people don't seem to understand why it's sexist ... hint to them, it's not just because he used the word woman.Eric_WLothian wrote:Yet the cybernats spring to his defence (no surprise there).rebeccariots2 wrote:Afternoon peeps. So he did say it.Not even the knowledge that it was aimed at Anna Soubry makes that acceptable.Anne Begg retweeted
Caroline CriadoPerez @CCriadoPerez 1h1 hour ago
Holy shit. Alex Salmond, ladies and gentlemen. (Via @tori_tweets)
http://www.scotsman.com/news/politics/t ... -1-3792650
Working on the wild side.
- rebeccariots2
- Prime Minister
- Posts: 14038
- Joined: Mon 25 Aug, 2014 8:20 pm
Re: Thursday 4th June 2015
James Kirkup @jameskirkup 3m3 minutes ago
Key point abt Ed Miliband's good Commons speech is how many Tories quietly agree w him that inequality = problem for Right as well as Left
James Landale @BBCJLandale 5m5 minutes ago
Ed Miliband making generous, self-deprecating, thoughtful & unrepentant speech, saying inequality challenges Tory one nation pitch
Working on the wild side.