Monday 25th July 2016

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gilsey
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by gilsey »

RobertSnozers wrote: Shades of 'A Canticle for Leibowitz'

The problem as far as I can see is that the minority of people controlling the majority of capital would rather retreat to their gated communities when the world burns than do something now to stop it catching.
I've read that, can't remember a thing about it. :oops:

Thanks for the second bit, very well put.
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by PorFavor »

A lot of (most) politicians confuse, deliberately or otherwise, growth with progress. It's one of my "things".



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SpinningHugo
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by SpinningHugo »

Temulkar wrote: The economic system is predicated on growth. In a world of finite resources there cannot be infinite growth.
That represents a basic mistake about what economists mean by "growth".

There is of course a finite amount of stuff, and so if by 'growth' we mean 'consumption of stuff' that cannot continue forever.


There is no reason at all why we cannot have growth in the sense of the economist (added value) combined with lower consumption of resources. My smartphone adds much more value than my granny's old bakelite one, but required fewer resources.

Take as an easy example energy consumption. UK energy consumption per capita has fallen, at the same time as GDP per head has risen.

You've exemplified one of the reasons why I am not a Green. They are terrible economists.
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by PorFavor »

SpinningHugo wrote:
Temulkar wrote: The economic system is predicated on growth. In a world of finite resources there cannot be infinite growth.
That represents a basic mistake about what economists mean by "growth".

There is of course a finite amount of stuff, and so if by 'growth' we mean 'consumption of stuff' that cannot continue forever.


There is no reason at all why we cannot have growth in the sense of the economist (added value) combined with lower consumption of resources. My smartphone adds much more value than my granny's old bakelite one, but required fewer resources.

Take as an easy example energy consumption. UK energy consumption per capita has fallen, at the same time as GDP per head has risen.
I've not heard any mainstream politicians make that distinction, though - or explain it. It's time that they did.
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AngryAsWell
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by AngryAsWell »

I'm a it can't be too hot, sun loving kind of person - but this is a bit much even for me

Erik Solheim ‏@ErikSolheim 3h3 hours ago
Last week Kuwait and Iraq measured 54 degrees.
Highest reliable temperatures ever recorded.
http://ow.ly/1Y52302z0nG" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
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JonnyT1234
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by JonnyT1234 »

RobertSnozers wrote:Finally this morning, the point that 'Labour has to be in power to reverse the inhuman cuts'...
Sorry, haven't read everything. Just wanted to point out that this above isn't actually remotely close to being true.

As the Tax Credits pseudo u-turn shows, and as Blunkett's constant shifting right on welfare when New Labour were in power showed, you can be in opposition and still cause a shift in government policy away from what they wanted to what you want. You absolutely do not have to be in power to cause a material effect.

And this is what has been happening with Labour with Corbyn as leader - not necessarily because he's dictating the direction but because the attitude of many of his colleagues has changed from one of appeasement and triangulation towards one of actual opposition.

The more you can actually make this happen - u-turns through opposition - the more likely you are to win an election. It's what makes the claims of a lack of 'effective opposition' ring so hollow. We've had more u-turns within the past 9 months that have made a material difference to people's lives than Miliband achieved in 5 years. And all because the Tories can no longer rely on Labour rolling over at the first whiff of a bad headline in the Mail.

But, hey, let's carry on with the myth that you have to win elections to make any difference at all. Particularly when it conveniently ties into the Labour right's 'mustn't spook the horses' rhetoric.
Last edited by JonnyT1234 on Mon 25 Jul, 2016 2:14 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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AngryAsWell
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by AngryAsWell »

Labour Press
Statement from Iain McNicol, General Secretary of the Labour Party

“Over the summer the party will embark on a big debate about our future. Labour members and supporters will choose our candidate for next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom.

“The Labour Party should be the home of lively debate, of new ideas and of campaigns to change society.

“However, for a fair debate to take place, people must be able to air their views in an atmosphere of respect. They shouldn’t be shouted down, they shouldn’t be intimidated and they shouldn’t be abused, either in meetings or online.

“Put plainly, there is simply too much of it taking place and it needs to stop.

“The two candidates Jeremy Corbyn and Owen Smith, our Deputy Leader Tom Watson and our NEC have been very clear - there is no place for abuse of any kind in the party.

“However words of condemnation are meaningless unless they are backed up by action.

“The NEC has already taken the difficult decision to suspend most Party meetings while the Leadership election is ongoing. And over the coming days and weeks the Party will be taking further action to protect our members and to identify those responsible for this appalling behaviour.

“I want to be clear, if you are a member and you engage in abusive behaviour towards other members it will be investigated and you could be suspended while that investigation is carried out.

“If you are a registered supporter or affiliated supporter and you engage in abusive behaviour you will not get a vote in this Leadership election.

“Details of any abusive behaviour can be reported by emailing validation@labour.org.uk.

“Choosing our candidate to be the next Labour Prime Minister is a great responsibility on us all. We owe it to the millions of people who need the Labour Party to fight for them, to conduct our Leadership election in a way that gives them confidence in our ability to build a better Britain.”

http://press.labour.org.uk/post/1479409 ... cretary-of" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Lets hope it works...
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JonnyT1234
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by JonnyT1234 »

SpinningHugo wrote:
Temulkar wrote:
The world really is going to hell inn a handcart, and our species faces an existential threat, the economic system that you don't think needs to be "destroyed" will destroy us unless it is fundementally changed.

Well, in a way I agree about climate change. That does pose an existential threat. Again however, I think we now have the economic tools and understanding to tackle it: what is lacking is political will. I am not a supporter of the Green Party however. (I could explain why not if you like).
Climate change was an existential threat in 1980. Now it is a very real and very actual threat. We had the tools to do something about it back in 1980. Back in 1990. Back in 2000. Back in 2010. Yet we didn't really do anything. By the time we do actually do something, it really is going to be much too late.

I think the main issue is that people just don't understand latency and how that means we can't just stop putting CO2 into the atmosphere at some ill-defined point in the future and expect the average surface temperature to suddenly stabilise or drop. Unless we come up with some massively scalable form of carbon capture, the CO2 we're putting into the atmosphere now is still going to be there in 100-150 years time. Even if we stopped emitting any CO2 today at all, we'll still be at 400ppm CO2 in over a 100 years time.

Just to put all this pissing in the wind about a Labour leadership election into perspective.
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Temulkar
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by Temulkar »

SpinningHugo wrote:
Temulkar wrote: The economic system is predicated on growth. In a world of finite resources there cannot be infinite growth.
That represents a basic mistake about what economists mean by "growth".

There is of course a finite amount of stuff, and so if by 'growth' we mean 'consumption of stuff' that cannot continue forever.


There is no reason at all why we cannot have growth in the sense of the economist (added value) combined with lower consumption of resources. My smartphone adds much more value than my granny's old bakelite one, but required fewer resources.

Take as an easy example energy consumption. UK energy consumption per capita has fallen, at the same time as GDP per head has risen.

You've exemplified one of the reasons why I am not a Green. They are terrible economists.
Your smartphone consumes more energy and contains far rarer + more resources than your granny's bakerlite ever did, it's made cheap by being transported at a vast energy/environmental cost across the world, offset by perpetuating ecominic inequality globally. It is dependent upon an oil based economy that cannot survive the century because of finite resources - maybe 40 years of oil left at current consumption; at the moment there is no substitute for plastic and metal, and no viable one on the horizon, no viable fuel for planes or tankers to keep the bulk transport of goods flowing.

Your smartphone - and mine - are perfect examples of an economic system that has raised sea temperatures, devastated fishing, destroying coral and plankton and so the rest of the ocean ecosystem from the bottom up, put at risk the food resources of 1 billion people and shrunk the liveable area of the world with drought, flooding, and unstable farming conditions putting another 1 billion people in danger of forced migration, increased the scale and magniude of natural disasters.

Change the system before it collapses, because collapse is not far away.

btw the infinite growth line is Krugman not me, and 40 years left of oil is Stanford Business.
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AngryAsWell
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by AngryAsWell »

Top school chef axed as government free school meals funding ‘cuts’ bite

http://schoolsweek.co.uk/top-school-che ... ign=buffer" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
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JonnyT1234
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by JonnyT1234 »

Temulkar wrote:...at the moment there is no substitute for plastic and metal, and no viable one on the horizon, no viable fuel for planes or tankers to keep the bulk transport of goods flowing.
Strictly speaking the first part of your sentence is wrong. There is a substitute for petroleum-based plastics from bacterial sources (and metal can be obtained so long as there's a viable energy source to power the machinery required to source, mine/recycle and smelt it). There's also a viable alternative to petroleum-based oil (e.g. rapeseed oil or sugar beet). However, the problem with both is that they don't and can't scale to the capacity required and they also have environmental consequences of their own.

PS. I laugh at people who think they are good economists when they don't factor in the externalities of collapsing food stocks, desertification, storm surges, salination, etc caused by climate change into the consequences of unfettered economic growth. It makes them lousy economists.
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JonnyT1234
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by JonnyT1234 »

PS on my slightly bleak posing today. Is there anything worse than people who are condemned to repeat history because they haven't learnt from it?

Actually, yes, it's being a person who has learnt from history, knows exactly what's going to happen, but has to sit by in despair and watch as the former go about destroying everything because they're so bloody stupid.

Sigh.
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RogerOThornhill
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by RogerOThornhill »

AngryAsWell wrote:Top school chef axed as government free school meals funding ‘cuts’ bite

http://schoolsweek.co.uk/top-school-che ... ign=buffer" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Andy Jolley who is cited in that article has blogged about the impact of UIFSM on childhood obesity.

https://notveryjolley.wordpress.com/201 ... -evidence/

I said the other day that this is a great opportunity for the Tories to ditch it and blame the LibDems which would be true since it was Clegg who bounced No 10 into accepting the policy despite DfE opposition - Gove and Cummings on the right side for a change!
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AngryAsWell
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by AngryAsWell »

DfE needs to ‘beef up’ finance rules after investigation reveals £1m expenses bill for academy bosses

http://schoolsweek.co.uk/dfe-needs-to-b ... my-bosses/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

The government has been called on to toughen up rules around academy trust finances after an investigation revealed 40 chains had spent more than £1 million on executive expenses, including luxury hotels and first-class travel.
The pay of academy chief executives will come under the spotlight again tonight, with a Channel 4 Dispatches investigation set to reveal more than half of the largest 50 chains pay their top bosses more than the prime minister’s £143,000 salary.

Money paid to businesses linked to trust directors and the expenses of executives will also feature.

This makes me so very mad. Our local LA school funding had been cut to the point where they may have to "let HLTA's go" and the private - yes thats what academies are - sector get to blow this kind of money. :fire:
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by SpinningHugo »

Temulkar wrote: offset by perpetuating ecominic inequality globally.
1. Global inequality has fallen *dramatically*. Inequality within some rich countries has risen (although not really in the UK for 25 years), but because of the incredible improvement in developing countries it has fallen overall. Indeed faster than at any time in history

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/04/ ... than-ever/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

That is a good example of the pessimism in defiance of the facts that I started with by citing Krugman on crime.

2. Yes of course we cannot forever go on burning oil and coal. Nothing I said about economic growth was dependent upon that.

3. As for your claim that Krugman also claims that economic growth requires more consumption of resources, you must be making a mistake. You can easily prove me wrong by linking to where he has said that.
Last edited by SpinningHugo on Mon 25 Jul, 2016 3:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.
ohsocynical
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by ohsocynical »

Russ Jackson
Sociologist at Sheffield Hallam University.

Letter to my socialist MP who recently declared their support for Owen Smith

Thanks for your heartfelt email. I do not doubt for a moment that you have the interests and well-being of your constituents, the wider Party membership and the wider population at the fore of your thoughts and actions. Nor do I doubt that you are an extremely capable, intelligent and principled MP and person. I believe in you and you have my support. Thanks for working so hard, for raising and confronting so many extremely important issues and for being on the side of the many, not the few.
Like numerous others I’m feeling frustrated, disappointed and angry, certainly with the Conservatives but also with the PLP.
You are correct to say that Jeremy is not to blame for the outcome of the referendum vote. He recognises, as does any sensible person, the cogent case against the EU, not least that despite its many advantages and good works, it is a fundamentally neoliberal organisation intent on ensuring that corporatism and hyper-capitalism is enforced at almost any cost. Many people including myself are pleased that he supported the remain position but it would have been extremely hypocritical for him to have given his unreserved

Cont. https://medium.com/@russjackson/letter- ... .47c3dv6qb
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Temulkar
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by Temulkar »

SpinningHugo wrote:
Temulkar wrote: offset by perpetuating ecominic inequality globally.
1. Global inequality has fallen *dramatically*. Inequality within some rich countries has risen (although not really in the UK for 25 years), but because of the incredible improvement in developing countries it has fallen overall. Indeed faster than at any time in history

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/04/ ... than-ever/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

That is a good example of the pessimism in defiance of the facts that I started with by citing Krugman on crime.

2. Yes of course we cannot forever go on burning oil and coal. Nothing I said about economic growth was dependent upon that.

3. As for your claim that Krugman also claims that economic growth requires more consumption of resources, you must be making a mistake. You can easily prove me wrong by linking to where he has said that.
1. Branko Milanovic, a senior scholar with the Luxembourg Income Survey now at the City University of New York’s Graduate Center, has done the world’s most rigorous research on the global income inequality picture. he published research finding that inequality within nations is increasing, but inequality worldwide seems to be slightly decreasing as middle classes emerge in China and India and the incomes of typical families in the United States and other rich countries stagnate and even, after inflation, decrease. But this slight worldwide decrease in overall inequality, Milanovich cautions, may be somewhat illusory since available national data regularly underestimate top 1 percent incomes and global tax havens conceal still more income at the economic summit. In 2016, he published Global Inequality: A New Approach for the Age of Globalization, showing how global inequality moves in cycles, fueled by war and disease, technological disruption, access to education, and redistribution.

2. The economic system is dependant upon oil, there is no viable alternative, and none in the forseeable future.

3. I will try and find the Krugman quote, but certainly could be wrong on that as it was ottomh. It's most certainly not my line - though I happily agree with it.

http://inequality.org/global-inequality/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by AnatolyKasparov »

RobertSnozers wrote:
yahyah wrote:Part of the problem is only having two candidates. It never should have happened in the way it has.
Was always going to cause huge ructions.

Am going to find solace in some craft work.
It's the worst case scenario in many ways. At least if Eagle had stood it would have presented more of a choice and not simply been about Corbyn vs Not Corbyn.

I wonder, if Owen Smith is defeated will it cause the Blairites to say to the soft left 'you had your chance and blew it - our turn now'?
Disagree with that, actually. Eagle's "campaign" was as staggeringly vacuous as it is possible to get - and consisted almost entirely of "I'm not Corbyn" (with a bit of "I'm a northern working class lesbian - have I told you this already?") A shame since she can certainly do better.

Whereas originally Smith *was* setting out some distinctive political positions. A great pity he seems to be going more for the personal stuff now.

(not least because that is a fight he can never win)
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AngryAsWell
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by AngryAsWell »

Temulkar wrote:
SpinningHugo wrote:
Temulkar wrote: offset by perpetuating ecominic inequality globally.
1. Global inequality has fallen *dramatically*. Inequality within some rich countries has risen (although not really in the UK for 25 years), but because of the incredible improvement in developing countries it has fallen overall. Indeed faster than at any time in history

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/04/ ... than-ever/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

That is a good example of the pessimism in defiance of the facts that I started with by citing Krugman on crime.

2. Yes of course we cannot forever go on burning oil and coal. Nothing I said about economic growth was dependent upon that.

3. As for your claim that Krugman also claims that economic growth requires more consumption of resources, you must be making a mistake. You can easily prove me wrong by linking to where he has said that.
1. Branko Milanovic, a senior scholar with the Luxembourg Income Survey now at the City University of New York’s Graduate Center, has done the world’s most rigorous research on the global income inequality picture. he published research finding that inequality within nations is increasing, but inequality worldwide seems to be slightly decreasing as middle classes emerge in China and India and the incomes of typical families in the United States and other rich countries stagnate and even, after inflation, decrease. But this slight worldwide decrease in overall inequality, Milanovich cautions, may be somewhat illusory since available national data regularly underestimate top 1 percent incomes and global tax havens conceal still more income at the economic summit. In 2016, he published Global Inequality: A New Approach for the Age of Globalization, showing how global inequality moves in cycles, fueled by war and disease, technological disruption, access to education, and redistribution.

2. The economic system is dependant upon oil, there is no viable alternative, and none in the forseeable future.

3. I will try and find the Krugman quote, but certainly could be wrong on that as it was ottomh. It's most certainly not my line - though I happily agree with it.

http://inequality.org/global-inequality/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Thank you both for a civil, educational discussion and interesting links :)
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AngryAsWell
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by AngryAsWell »

Wouldn't this be the ultimate buying of privilege ? or is it just me?
If Sir Philip Green pays up in full, then maybe he can keep his gong

https://www.theguardian.com/business/20 ... 1469402503" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
ohsocynical
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by ohsocynical »

The Junior Doctors fight with Hunt goes on if anyone's interested.

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AnatolyKasparov
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by AnatolyKasparov »

And as for the idea that Owen Smith is a Trojan horse for some Blairite successor in a few years - the fact is that if said faction continue to act as present day "learned nothing and forgotten nothing" Bourbons, then the only way they will get that past the party membership is by evicting about five sixths of it (if not more)

Maybe that is what they actually want. Maybe they seek to emulate the (junior party in "grand coalition") Dutch Labour party which has just hit 5% in the polls?
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ohsocynical
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by ohsocynical »

Darren McCaffrey ‏@DMcCaffreySKY 3m3 minutes ago

NEW: @SarahChampionMP emailed @JeremyCorbyn asking for the job back (h/t @GuidoFawkes). I understand he has accepted her unresignation.
We hang the petty thieves and appoint the great ones to public office. – Aesop
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by howsillyofme1 »

Afternoon

Not getting into 'equality' debate until we have free and transparent disclosure of all assets being hidden in tax havens etc......until then the data is inherently flawed and I doubt, personally, that we have overestimated the amount being hidden....

I will also ignore, as most of the world is the most serious problem facing us....ie climate change. This is because it is too big an issue and I am intellectually incapable of getting my head around what we should/could do - despite being fully aware that the likely consequences will be huge.

The fact that the political classes, and the media have ignored this subject is to me the greatest calumny done in recent history, even all of history

It is strange that all these so-called 'Great Leaders' such as Blair, Cameron, Thatcher, Reagan, Kohl etc, etc have completely missed any opportunity to do something

In fact our ancien 'Great Leader' Cameron positively tried his best to make things go backwards...and we just have to look at the approach of the current 'Greatest Leader' in putting this subject completely at the bottom of the list

Never mind though, we will still have a completely useless nuclear weapons system in a few years time!

I focus on this aspect of 'Leadership' as we have heard many people talk about why this or that person is a 'Leader' - I would say being a liar, an incompetent and criminally negligent are not things I would look for but then again what would I know.....

I will focus again on that most minor, in the big scheme of things, subject - the Labour Party leadership. Each day becoming more like a student jape! It is this subject that causes most debate

Scenario 1 - Smith wins

Highly unlikely based on recent polling but just possible. Nowt really against the chap but he is just come across as a bit, well, crap. It is surprising that he is really the only person who could challenge Corbyn...perhaps this explains why Corbyn is leader

If he does win then the PLP will be happy (for a couple of weeks), I guess he will then be undermined like those previous leaders. His lack of experience, being Welsh (appeal to the wankers in Nuneaton not strong enough) and his PR past will all give plenty of ammunition.

Two things could happen to a Smith leadership, the membership elects a left-wing NEC and then takes revenge during any selection battles under the new boundaries - or perhaps we have mandatory reselection. Battle between the membership and PLP takes on a new look, without Corbyn as the lightning rod.

Other option is the membership loses interest and Labour continue the decline shown since 2001

Scenario 2 - Corbyn wins

Most likely and most interesting

It is possible that all comes together and we pretend this all never happened - odds on that low to infinitely low

One possibility I think may happen is that the PLP tries to set itself up as a separate party in Parliament - that raises some questions that I do not know the answer to.

I guess if they have enough members then they could set themselves up as the Official Opposition but lot of ifs and buts
I assume all who did that would be automatically thrown out of the party and deselected - is this the case?
If the latter is the case then how many would really jump?.....it would be a risky move that may not seem that attractive

The other possibility is they continue trying to undermine Corbyn whilst staying in the party....another risky move that may encourage a move to mandatory reselection - depends on the NEC make-up


To be honest I am just seeing this as a game now as it has become beyond ridiculous and perhaps we need a big massive row to relieve the tension and perhaps a phoenix will rise from the flames. At the moment I see little positive outcome
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by citizenJA »

JonnyT1234 wrote:
RobertSnozers wrote:Finally this morning, the point that 'Labour has to be in power to reverse the inhuman cuts'...
Sorry, haven't read everything. Just wanted to point out that this above isn't actually remotely close to being true.

As the Tax Credits pseudo u-turn shows, and as Blunkett's constant shifting right on welfare when New Labour were in power showed, you can be in opposition and still cause a shift in government policy away from what they wanted to what you want. You absolutely do not have to be in power to cause a material effect.

And this is what has been happening with Labour with Corbyn as leader - not necessarily because he's dictating the direction but because the attitude of many of his colleagues has changed from one of appeasement and triangulation towards one of actual opposition.

The more you can actually make this happen - u-turns through opposition - the more likely you are to win an election. It's what makes the claims of a lack of 'effective opposition' ring so hollow. We've had more u-turns within the past 9 months that have made a material difference to people's lives than Miliband achieved in 5 years. And all because the Tories can no longer rely on Labour rolling over at the first whiff of a bad headline in the Mail.

But, hey, let's carry on with the myth that you have to win elections to make any difference at all. Particularly when it conveniently ties into the Labour right's 'mustn't spook the horses' rhetoric.
(my bold)

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citizenJA
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by citizenJA »

howsillyofme1 wrote:To be honest I am just seeing this as a game now as it has become beyond ridiculous and perhaps we need a big massive row to relieve the tension and perhaps a phoenix will rise from the flames. At the moment I see little positive outcome
(cJA edit)

I'm terrified.
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by TR'sGhost »

Temulkar wrote:It is dependent upon an oil based economy that cannot survive the century because of finite resources - maybe 40 years of oil left at current consumption; at the moment there is no substitute for plastic and metal, and no viable one on the horizon, no viable fuel for planes or tankers to keep the bulk transport of goods flowing.
One of the things that concerns me most about global warming deniers, not the Koch brothers, Lawson et al but their rank and file followers, is that they very often seem to feel it necessary to oppose all alternative forms of energy because not burning up hydrocarbons as fast as possible means they might be giving an inch of credibility to the "so-called 'scientific' global warming conspiracy." It's an argument as illogical and wrong as the Brexit cultists whose answer to every problem with "get rid of the immigrants".

Sadly we seem to be in a world where for many people everything comes down to "my team vs your team", discussion is replaced by adversarial "debate" and a successful solution doesn't mean finding the objectively best answer to a social or economic problem but forcing your team to the top of the league by trampling over all who disagree with you.

There are far more important uses for oil and coal than simply converting it to combustion by-products. A world without plastics is almost unimaginable yet it is coming unless steps are taken to move away from burning up the raw materials from which plastic comes. It doesn't help that in the UK a previous government, with full knowledge of what it was doing, decided to place almost all of the UK's still substantial coal reserves beyond reach without enormous expenditure and new, more complex, ways of getting at it. Instead we seem to be heading into fracking and burning the coal reserves underground to release gas which will then be burned up.

Even if the world's climatologists are wrong (and I don't think they are) reliance on fossil fuels is obviously a dead end.
I'm getting tired of calming down....
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by HindleA »

Deleted.
Last edited by HindleA on Mon 25 Jul, 2016 5:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
gilsey
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by gilsey »

howsillyofme1 wrote: I will also ignore, as most of the world is the most serious problem facing us....ie climate change. This is because it is too big an issue and I am intellectually incapable of getting my head around what we should/could do - despite being fully aware that the likely consequences will be huge.

The fact that the political classes, and the media have ignored this subject is to me the greatest calumny done in recent history, even all of history

It is strange that all these so-called 'Great Leaders' such as Blair, Cameron, Thatcher, Reagan, Kohl etc, etc have completely missed any opportunity to do something

In fact our ancien 'Great Leader' Cameron positively tried his best to make things go backwards...and we just have to look at the approach of the current 'Greatest Leader' in putting this subject completely at the bottom of the list
I think those 'Great Leaders' are as intellectually incapable as you, indeed more so as their character has led them to pursue power, which probably blinds them to the long term consequences of their action/inaction. You admit your fallibility, they cannot.

There's been a few articles lately about citizens income, discussed as a response to automation of work. I've not yet seen it considered as a response to climate change. It seem to me that eventually rationing will be rational.

Climate change is the reason I have no time at all for 'listening to concerns about immigration'.
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by yahyah »

A comical response to Mike Sivier's rubbish, posted on his blog.

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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by citizenJA »

HindleA wrote:It may well be my frazzled brain,given continued high temperatures,although being in an oven at 180 degrees doesn't help.Saying an opposition is limited and arguing against the idea that it cannot make any difference is could be interpretate as saying the same thing.
The Bedroom Tax isn't repealed yet. The NHS is still underfunded and shackled by the Tory Health and Social Care Act of 2012. Ed Miliband's Labour government would've binned both of them and the UK would be a finer place right now, in my opinion.
SpinningHugo
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by SpinningHugo »

Temulkar wrote:
SpinningHugo wrote:
Temulkar wrote: offset by perpetuating ecominic inequality globally.
1. Global inequality has fallen *dramatically*. Inequality within some rich countries has risen (although not really in the UK for 25 years), but because of the incredible improvement in developing countries it has fallen overall. Indeed faster than at any time in history

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/04/ ... than-ever/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

That is a good example of the pessimism in defiance of the facts that I started with by citing Krugman on crime.

2. Yes of course we cannot forever go on burning oil and coal. Nothing I said about economic growth was dependent upon that.

3. As for your claim that Krugman also claims that economic growth requires more consumption of resources, you must be making a mistake. You can easily prove me wrong by linking to where he has said that.
1. Branko Milanovic, a senior scholar with the Luxembourg Income Survey now at the City University of New York’s Graduate Center, has done the world’s most rigorous research on the global income inequality picture. he published research finding that inequality within nations is increasing, but inequality worldwide seems to be slightly decreasing as middle classes emerge in China and India and the incomes of typical families in the United States and other rich countries stagnate and even, after inflation, decrease. But this slight worldwide decrease in overall inequality, Milanovich cautions, may be somewhat illusory since available national data regularly underestimate top 1 percent incomes and global tax havens conceal still more income at the economic summit. In 2016, he published Global Inequality: A New Approach for the Age of Globalization, showing how global inequality moves in cycles, fueled by war and disease, technological disruption, access to education, and redistribution.

2. The economic system is dependant upon oil, there is no viable alternative, and none in the forseeable future.

3. I will try and find the Krugman quote, but certainly could be wrong on that as it was ottomh. It's most certainly not my line - though I happily agree with it.

http://inequality.org/global-inequality/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
1. One study that agrees that inequality is decreasing. Most others put the decrease as large (and the evidence of my own eyes having traveled to China and elsewhere says it is large). The last link you posted also shows the same (look at the sharp fall in the numbers of "poor", in just a decade.) Africa, a continent people used to write off, has enormously improved (though it is patchy of course).

2. Many reasons to be cheerful about that too. Renewables have fallen dramatically in cost. The collapse in the oil price is in part because of demand falling in the west. We do more with less.

One Krugman on that

http://www.nytimes.com/2015/10/05/opini ... e-sun.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

We of course need to do more, but I think it can be achieved if we used the levers we already have (ie tax and spend).

There are lots of other reasons to be cheerful. Whenever I am horrified by yet another maniac who thinks the way to improve the world is by slaughtering innocents, I remember Pinker's evidence that violence is actually at an all time low.

People on the left and right are too pessimistic. That is why they reach for what I consider extreme and destructive solutions like Brexit or 'destroying neoliberalism' (whatever that means)
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by JonnyT1234 »

citizenJA wrote:The opposition in the UK is limited in their action by not being government.
This is very true but the myth is that they are incapable of any influence at all. Which simply isn't true. Of course you can achieve more by being in power but it doesn't mean you can't achieve anything while out of it. If that were the case then the opposition may as well never bother to turn up in Parliament and just let the government of the day get on with it.
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by HindleA »

Deleted part two.
Last edited by HindleA on Mon 25 Jul, 2016 5:23 pm, edited 1 time in total.
yahyah
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by yahyah »

Sky were charging Ty Hafan, a Welsh hospice for children, £7,000 for their TV services.

http://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/wales ... 0-11660028" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

https://www.change.org/p/sky-prevent-bs ... -in-the-uk" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
yahyah
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by yahyah »

Neil Hamilton accused of 'awful bullying behaviour'.
Looks like part of the rift between him and Nathan Gill.

http://www.walesonline.co.uk/news/polit ... n-11660621" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
ohsocynical
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by ohsocynical »

JonnyT1234 wrote:
citizenJA wrote:The opposition in the UK is limited in their action by not being government.
This is very true but the myth is that they are incapable of any influence at all. Which simply isn't true. Of course you can achieve more by being in power but it doesn't mean you can't achieve anything while out of it. If that were the case then the opposition may as well never bother to turn up in Parliament and just let the government of the day get on with it.
They could make a lot of difference explaining in simple terms what the Tories are doing wrong, and what Labour would do. How are people to judge who to vote for if they're not informed properly, or as in this instance, if the opposition is more interested in coups and leadership struggles
We hang the petty thieves and appoint the great ones to public office. – Aesop
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citizenJA
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by citizenJA »

JonnyT1234 wrote:
citizenJA wrote:The opposition in the UK is limited in their action by not being government.
This is very true but the myth is that they are incapable of any influence at all. Which simply isn't true. Of course you can achieve more by being in power but it doesn't mean you can't achieve anything while out of it. If that were the case then the opposition may as well never bother to turn up in Parliament and just let the government of the day get on with it.
I know what the opposition in UK Parliament has the authority to do. I emphasised the opposition is limited, not futile.
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by ohsocynical »

Aaron Bastani
‏@AaronBastani Aaron Bastani Retweeted sharon taylor

Members locked out of CLP meeting in @ConorMcGinn constituency. Shameful.

" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Somebody really needs to get a grip and sort this sort of thing out otherwise there'll never be a truce.
We hang the petty thieves and appoint the great ones to public office. – Aesop
TR'sGhost
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by TR'sGhost »

Temulkar wrote:History is not a march of progress - it is Marx's fundemental mistake - regression can and does happen, and that is what we face now. A new dark age, where experts are scorned, and society collapses.
I think there's a couple of things here that you're maybe over-simplifying.

While Marx and his successors regard the inherent contradictions of a class-based society to, over considerable time, result in the economic relationships within that society eventually acting as a brake on production and technological development it's not an automatic process. Reverses are possible and do occur, though there's no example of e.g. established, developed capitalism reverting to feudalism because the economic nature of feudalism is not economically efficient for capitalist production. As the Tsars found out when they tried to extend land feudalism to factory feudalism. The policy was abandoned in the 1860s because capitalism requires labour mobility, consumers to buy what it makes and the ability to shift capital and labour from one thing to another very quickly.

For a capitalist society to revert to a feudal or slavery based one implies a society-wide collapse to the point where such social forms are more efficient than capitalism. Which in turn requires a technological reversion to the pre-industrial age. Which isn't impossible if we imagine a devastating enough scenario such as global nuclear war or an epidemic that kills 90% of the global population.

I suppose Pol Pot's Cambodia and North Korea are the closest examples of a reversion to a kind of neo-feudalism from an originally post-feudal system but they're isolated examples and neither Cambodia or what became North Korea were advanced capitalist societies in the first place, both being recent ex-colonies.

Which brings me to Engels' comment when he was asked by someone if socialism would inevitably follow capitalism. His answer was no, he thought it would either be socialism or barbarism.

As for the scorning of experts, that's something intended for consumption by the masses, not so much collectively by our ruling class. Or at least I hope it is. An individual capitalist might ignore experts, but the wiser ones use and value expert advice. The problem arises when the lower orders pay attention to what the experts say if it might interfere with profits, so anti-intellectualism is advocated for the likes of us to believe in.

As a Roman whose name escapes me put it, the gods were something the masses believed in, the intellectuals didn't believe in and the government, while not believing itself, found a useful tool to keep the masses in their place.
I'm getting tired of calming down....
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by ohsocynical »

DPAC, which as an organisation has never backed a political party before, has come out in full support of Corbyn’s leadership bid. In a letter, signed by over 700 people who either live with a disability, are carers, or are supporters of the group, the organisation says:

http://www.thecanary.co/2016/07/25/one- ... my-corbyn/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
We hang the petty thieves and appoint the great ones to public office. – Aesop
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by RogerOThornhill »

Image

:D
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by frog222 »

ohsocynical wrote:DPAC, which as an organisation has never backed a political party before, has come out in full support of Corbyn’s leadership bid. In a letter, signed by over 700 people who either live with a disability, are carers, or are supporters of the group, the organisation says:

http://www.thecanary.co/2016/07/25/one- ... my-corbyn/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
I was just about to post that one !

Here's another which I found most interesting

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/uk/po ... 55176.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Labour MP Sarah Champion who quit Jeremy Corbyn's front bench last month 'unresigns' and gets her old job back

Fast-moving Politics !
Vordy
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by Vordy »

Evening All.He says,bending his creaking knees. :popcorn:

Labour MP who quit Jeremy Corbyn’s front bench during leadership coup becomes first to return

The announcement will fuel fears moderates who walked out en masses after the country voted to Brexit are now reconsidering the decision after Mr Corbyn refused to resign.

Read full story here,sorry can't stick around.Have lots to do at the Mo. :cry:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/07 ... eadership/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by MsChin »

yahyah wrote:
AngryAsWell wrote:
yahyah wrote:Oh dear, oh dear. This is so far below the belt it is dragging along the floor.
My 'a pox on both their houses' seems a good position to have taken.

http://voxpoliticalonline.com/2016/07/2 ... rpetrator/" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
I saw this earlier but hesitated to post it.
Pretty despicable, it reflects more on the on going dispute between Sivier & Owen Smith (about the disabled lady) than facts, and has diminished Mike Sivier greatly in my eye's.
Utter gutter trollop - and nasty with it.

I thought the same, the risk of repeating the smear, but it just shows how silly this whole thing has become. Any of us who have been on a course, or received counselling/therapy could describe anyone via an interpretation like that.

As for the woman who didn't want to identify herself for suggesting such rubbish, she ought to be ashamed of herself. As for Sivier, and his weak defence of publishing the rubbish.
Will not comment on what I think of him because I don't want to break the spirit of Corbyn's 'no personal abuse' I'm trying to follow.
I trained to deliver the Freedom Programme, which is where this character type comes from, some years ago because I was convinced after listening to survivors of domestic abuse that it's effective I helping them understand controlling behaviours. I was shocked & disgusted when I saw this on Twitter last night. I don't blame the woman involved but for Sivier to make capital out of her ill judged remark is appalling. I have no idea what the Freedom Programme's position is as they are a charity with no political links but I hope there's some action they may take.
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by frog222 »

MsChin Hello!
yahyah
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by yahyah »

Nice to see you here MsChin.

My comment was harsh about the woman, but Sivier rightly deserves a rollicking for publishing her comments in that form.
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by yahyah »

& a wave to Vordy too.
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by frog222 »

The spokesperson went on to suggest this could be more than one unresignation - perhaps growing into a deshuffle.
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Re: Monday 25th July 2016

Post by Temulkar »

TR'sGhost wrote:
Temulkar wrote:History is not a march of progress - it is Marx's fundemental mistake - regression can and does happen, and that is what we face now. A new dark age, where experts are scorned, and society collapses.
I think there's a couple of things here that you're maybe over-simplifying.

While Marx and his successors regard the inherent contradictions of a class-based society to, over considerable time, result in the economic relationships within that society eventually acting as a brake on production and technological development it's not an automatic process. Reverses are possible and do occur, though there's no example of e.g. established, developed capitalism reverting to feudalism because the economic nature of feudalism is not economically efficient for capitalist production. As the Tsars found out when they tried to extend land feudalism to factory feudalism. The policy was abandoned in the 1860s because capitalism requires labour mobility, consumers to buy what it makes and the ability to shift capital and labour from one thing to another very quickly.

For a capitalist society to revert to a feudal or slavery based one implies a society-wide collapse to the point where such social forms are more efficient than capitalism. Which in turn requires a technological reversion to the pre-industrial age. Which isn't impossible if we imagine a devastating enough scenario such as global nuclear war or an epidemic that kills 90% of the global population.

I suppose Pol Pot's Cambodia and North Korea are the closest examples of a reversion to a kind of neo-feudalism from an originally post-feudal system but they're isolated examples and neither Cambodia or what became North Korea were advanced capitalist societies in the first place, both being recent ex-colonies.

Which brings me to Engels' comment when he was asked by someone if socialism would inevitably follow capitalism. His answer was no, he thought it would either be socialism or barbarism.

As for the scorning of experts, that's something intended for consumption by the masses, not so much collectively by our ruling class. Or at least I hope it is. An individual capitalist might ignore experts, but the wiser ones use and value expert advice. The problem arises when the lower orders pay attention to what the experts say if it might interfere with profits, so anti-intellectualism is advocated for the likes of us to believe in.

As a Roman whose name escapes me put it, the gods were something the masses believed in, the intellectuals didn't believe in and the government, while not believing itself, found a useful tool to keep the masses in their place.
To be fair one sentence is clearly an oversimplification of a march of progress theory.

The roman collapse into the dark ages is of course an example of societal regression on a mass scale, collapse of monetary economy slave based but market driven, the late bronze age collapse is another example, Easter Island is an example in microcosm, the Gupta dynasty in India, and the Indus Valley culture, Cambodiea Ankor is a better example than Pol Pot, the fall of the Han in China.

Feudalism itself ican be seen as a regression from the classical capitalist slave economies rather than a progressive stage in development - I can't for the life of me remember whose that idea is; frighteningly it could be Friedman - given the progression out of fedalism into slave based economies again before the Industrial revolution.

Don't get me wrong, I am a Braudelian - so Marxist derivative - but Marx was constrained by nineteenth century historiography in the same way we are by 21st.
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