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There has been some discussion re the timing of this by-election with regard to the party conferences.
Worth remembering there, then, that the order this year is different to usual - the LibDem gathering would normally be in the week ending 20th September, but the Scottish referendum means it has been moved to after the Tories this time. Which also results in Labour going first, so they need to make the most of it
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The thought of watching them knocking lumps out of each other all the way to May is delightful. Since the boundaries changed I don't know that there's any chance of a Labour MP (Harwich was Labour from 1997 to 2005) but if they split the rightwing vote down the middle then maybe, just maybe...
If Lord refuses to go quietly - and why should he? - it should provide a fetching tableaux for Farago to show off his famous political and man management skills. Good to see such a break with the 'old politics' by the new People's Party, thobut.
Sadly for Lord he is their parliamentary candidate, but by-elections will have a separate selection process.
He can force a vote although I imagine UKIP can also bar him from standing.
RobertSnozers wrote:
The thought of watching them knocking lumps out of each other all the way to May is delightful. Since the boundaries changed I don't know that there's any chance of a Labour MP (Harwich was Labour from 1997 to 2005) but if they split the rightwing vote down the middle then maybe, just maybe...
If Lord refuses to go quietly - and why should he? - it should provide a fetching tableaux for Farago to show off his famous political and man management skills. Good to see such a break with the 'old politics' by the new People's Party, thobut.
Sadly for Lord he is their parliamentary candidate, but by-elections will have a separate selection process.
He can force a vote although I imagine UKIP can also bar him from standing.
Would he stand as an Independent? Ukip Ukip vs. Indy Ukip?
ErnstRemarx wrote:
If Lord refuses to go quietly - and why should he? - it should provide a fetching tableaux for Farago to show off his famous political and man management skills. Good to see such a break with the 'old politics' by the new People's Party, thobut.
Sadly for Lord he is their parliamentary candidate, but by-elections will have a separate selection process.
He can force a vote although I imagine UKIP can also bar him from standing.
Would he stand as an Independent? Ukip Ukip vs. Indy Ukip?
The trick would be to stand for UK Independence Now party.
But he also needs to change his name to Aaron Aardvark.
Tim Montgomerie @TimMontgomerie 1h
RT @IndyPolitics Tories fear Carswell’s defection to Ukip may be 1st of many http://ind.pn/1zMjBTf" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false; < I suspect 2 more may defect by October
Looks like it's going to be a rip roaring conference season ...
Ernst - I think we may be needing a lot of snacks and bevvies - plenty of crisps, beer and the like. Just enjoy - we deserve it (and so do the bloody Tories).
Tim Montgomerie @TimMontgomerie 1h
RT @IndyPolitics Tories fear Carswell’s defection to Ukip may be 1st of many http://ind.pn/1zMjBTf" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false; < I suspect 2 more may defect by October
Looks like it's going to be a rip roaring conference season ...
Ernst - I think we may be needing a lot of snacks and bevvies - plenty of crisps, beer and the like. Just enjoy - we deserve it (and so do the bloody Tories).
I am not sure this is going to open the floodgates. By resigning Carswell has set the bar very high; other Tory MPs who go will have to fight and win a by-election and as the birth of the SDP shows that isn't easy.
So you are looking for frothing Euro Septic MPs in safe constituencies. They have to be very popular in those constituencies. I would doubt that Nadine would be tempted. Peter Bone would be a possible, but would he really carry enough clout in his constituency (I suspect even his voters think he is a Tory first and a twat second).
AnatolyKasparov wrote:There has been some discussion re the timing of this by-election with regard to the party conferences.
Worth remembering there, then, that the order this year is different to usual - the LibDem gathering would normally be in the week ending 20th September, but the Scottish referendum means it has been moved to after the Tories this time. Which also results in Labour going first, so they need to make the most of it
I've seen little (that's not trite) thus far. If they have any brains, they'll ensure that the local candidate gets out there and has emphatic support. No need to stir the pot, the right wing nutters will do the job.
Tim Montgomerie @TimMontgomerie 1h
RT @IndyPolitics Tories fear Carswell’s defection to Ukip may be 1st of many http://ind.pn/1zMjBTf" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false; < I suspect 2 more may defect by October
Looks like it's going to be a rip roaring conference season ...
Ernst - I think we may be needing a lot of snacks and bevvies - plenty of crisps, beer and the like. Just enjoy - we deserve it (and so do the bloody Tories).
I am not sure this is going to open the floodgates. By resigning Carswell has set the bar very high; other Tory MPs who go will have to fight and win a by-election and as the birth of the SDP shows that isn't easy.
So you are looking for frothing Euro Septic MPs in safe constituencies. They have to be very popular in those constituencies. I would doubt that Nadine would be tempted. Peter Bone would be a possible, but would he really carry enough clout in his constituency (I suspect even his voters think he is a Tory first and a twat second).
Ha ha... there's probably a handful of those anyway, but let's not forget that there might (nb, might) be a couple more floating about who are simply UKIP centric, don't see a return to parliament after 2015, maybe have (mad) principles, or might pony up another reason for doing so - there's certainly plenty of animus about CMD in the Tory party, at all levels.
Either way, it's delicious. I imagine Ed Miliband cracked open a bottle of Krug tonight to celebrate. Why interfere in a massive family row like that? You'll be hated by all sides. Far better to sit back and watch shell shocked swing voters toddle your way, whilst UKIP get a mild swell in the polls. One thing's for certain, it won't be the Tories that will benefit from this.
Stephen Tall @stephentall 8m
Gerald Vernon Jackson selected as Lib Dem PPC in Portsmouth, aiming to succeed suspended/disgraced Mike Hancock http://bit.ly/1q9sIwl" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
Oh FFS. Don't they learn anything? I hope they've signed their own election loss warrant with that choice ...
Portsmouth and Pembrokeshire seem to be equally murky and torrid ... perhaps we should be twinned.